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Volume 43,Issue 2,2015 Table of Contents

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  • Abstract List
  • 1  Comparison of Calibration Methods for Pyranometers
    Yang Yun Ding Lei Quan Jimei Bian Zeqiang
    2015, 43(2):175-180.
    [Abstract](1419) [HTML](0) [PDF 3.48 M](1968)
    Abstract:
    Five calibration methods of pyranometers are introduced and their advantages and disadvantages are compared. For different classes of pyranometers, there are different calibration methods to transfer values in order to meet the needs of different customers. By comparison of different methods, the results show that the sensitivity accuracy of the pyranometers calibrated by the shaded/unshaded method is better than those by using the component summation technique. Likewise, the component summation method is better than the sidebyside comparison method. The error of the method using an artificial source to calibrate pyranometers in the laboratory is the maxmium. According to WMO CIMO Guide, pyranometers should be calibrated only in the position of using sun as light source. The shaded/unshaded method is used to calibrate the national diffuse irradiance standard pyranometer, and the component summation method to calibrate the provincial standard pyranometer, the side by side comparison method to calibrate the working pyranometer in stations. All these methods ensure the accuracy and reliability of solar radiation measurement data.
    2  Effect of Supply Voltage and Load Resistance on Verification Results of PTB220 Pressure Sensors
    Li Jianying He Xiaolei Chong Wei Ding Hongying
    2015, 43(2):181-185.
    [Abstract](1175) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.04 M](1755)
    Abstract:
    Tests of supply voltages and load resistances on several PTB220 pressure sensors are carried out for the accuracy and reliability of verification results. The test results show that the measurement errors of pressure sensor analog output are increasing gradually with the increasing supply voltage in the range of 12 to 30 V. The maximum error variation is up to -028 hPa, while there is no effect for digital outputs. The analog measurement errors of the PTB220 pressure sensors are increasing with the increasing of load resistance at the low limit of pressure measurement range for load resistance variation between 10 kΩ and 500 kΩ. Based on this finding, suggestions for the modification of verification method of PTB220 pressure sensors are proposed accordingly.
    3  Development of Wind Signal Transmitter with Lightning Protection Function
    Yang Weijun Yang Weifa Wan Dingxiang Qin Jianfeng Zeng Tao Cai Hong
    2015, 43(2):186-190.
    [Abstract](1205) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.15 M](1571)
    Abstract:
    The collectors of automatic weather stations are damaged mostly by collector faults through wind sensors induced by lightning. The best way to solve this problem is to disconnect the physical connection (signal line and power line) of the wind sensor and collector, on condition that the data is surely collected. An opticalfiber wind signal isolator is design for automatic weather stations, which transits wind signals from the wind sensor to collector by means of EDA technology, and in which the wind sensor is powered by the lightning protection power. The tests show that this transmitter can not only protect the collector against lightning, but also guarantee data collecting, and has good promotion and application value.
    4  OverCurrent Protection and Analysis of CINRAD/SA Switch IGBT
    Wang Zhangwei Hu Xueying Gong Yuheng Wang Lingqin
    2015, 43(2):191-195.
    [Abstract](1446) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.15 M](1685)
    Abstract:
    The analysis and processing of the overcurrent protection faults in IGBT (a common switch in CINRAD/SA radar transmitters), are described. As the fault alarm has no sign in the CINRAD/SA radar transmitter alarm panel, the troubleshooting is difficult. The overcurrent of the switch IGBT is monitored by its chip EXB841, and the overcurrent protection is conducted according to the over current signal outputs to cut off the drive signal outputs timely. Through the analysis of the flow condition monitored by EXB841 and alarms when faults occur, it is found that charging circuit faults of CINRAD/SA radar transmitter are the main cause of the IGBT overcurrent protection. The charging circuit faults result in the sudden current change of primary transformers and IGBTs,leading to the L〖SX(〗di〖〗dt〖SX)〗 changes in inductive voltage at both ends, the reverse electric potential difference between the IGBT C and E, the fast turnon diode cutoff, the overcurrent in EXB841 monitoring, and the quick cutoff of IGBT, as well as IGBT of the protection switch component.
    5  Application of Wavelet Analysis in Denoising of Weather Radar Echo Signals
    Li Hua Liu Yunlei Han Bing Zhong Bo
    2015, 43(2):196-201.
    [Abstract](1483) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.62 M](1900)
    Abstract:
    Radar echo signals inevitably contain noise, and the presence of noise seriously interferes with the accurate analysis of radar echo signals. In order to improve the signal to noise ratio of radar echoes, the wavelet analysis is used to determine the wavelet function, the number of decomposition levels, the thresholds, and threshold quantization through experimental analysis. The results show that the wavelet analysis denoising method can effectively suppress the noises superimposed on radar echo signals, and the signal to noise ratio of radar echoes significantly increased after denoising, which is highly applicable.
    6  Operational Tests and Verification Standards of Measurements from SoilMoisture Automatic Stations in Yunnan
    Lu Weikun Li Xiang Zhu Bin
    2015, 43(2):202-206.
    [Abstract](1268) [HTML](0) [PDF 586.17 K](1660)
    Abstract:
    Operational tests are conducted for measurements from 20 soilmoisture automatic stations which were built in 2010 in Yunnan, based on the related operational verification standards. Among the 20 automatic stations, 17 passed the operational tests. In order to assess the data quality of the passed stations, a comparative analysis is made between manual and automatic observation data. Since verification was conducted mostly during rainy season, the standard deviations of observation samples are usually small, which leads to large errors during dry season afterwards between manual and automatic observation. The absolute errors of volumetric soil water are converted into soil relative humidity errors, and it is found that the number of error values with soil relative humidity above 10% accounts for 241% of total number in effective verifications; and the number of ones under 6% make up only 426% of total number. It is considered that the current evaluation criteria of the operational tests for soilmoisture automatic stations are worth of further discussion and argument.
    7  Rationality of Metrological Performance Requirements in JJGMeteorological Elements for Automatic Weather Stations
    Zheng Liang Li Xiaohong Huang Xiaojing
    2015, 43(2):207-210.
    [Abstract](1278) [HTML](0) [PDF 566.75 K](1626)
    Abstract:
    According to the verification regulation corresponding to temperature and rainfall of automatic meteorological stations, the rationality of the related indicators and rules is discussed. The purpose is to make verification regulation more perfect and reasonable. The error structure is analyzed, and the deduced theoretical formula is given from the characteristics of the instrument itself, combined with the actual work experiences. As a result, it is found that the temperature (ground temperature) and rainfall measuring performance requirements of the maximum permissible error and resolution are unreasonable. The maximum permissible errors of temperature and rainfall are obtained from the error formulas. Some suggestions about the determination of the indicators in the regulation are proposed.
    8  Design and Implementation of ProvincialLevel Meteorological WAN Optimization and Upgrade for Operational Technical Support
    Yan Dongwei Yang Yan Wang Lei He Lin Li Zhen
    2015, 43(2):211-215.
    [Abstract](1358) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.45 M](1667)
    Abstract:
    There exist some common problems in the backbone network of provincial meteorological services. The loadsharing, for example, has not been achieved in different network lines, so that the backup line is often idle, and the asymmetric routing between provinces and cities has an effect on remote video conference service. There is no control of bandwidths for different tasks, and there are mutual influences among different tasks. Some technical means are proposed aiming at above problems. Through introducing the policy routing to shunt data transmission, the benefits of multiple lines are improved, so the loadsharing is realized, and the problem of asymmetric routing is solved, so that the effect of video conference is guaranteed. The occupied bandwidth of different tasks on lines is managed by introducing a series of QoS strategies, which can not only ensure the bandwidth of key tasks such as realtime data transmission and video conference, but also provide dynamic bandwidth resources for other tasks, thus to make full use of the existing network bandwidth. A series of tests indicates that the optimization and upgrade of the entire network has reached the design target, which provides a good reference for the network design of other departments.
    9  Overall Design and Implementation of Provincial Public Weather Service System
    Lei Shengkai Liu Hongyang Zhang Xiangfeng
    2015, 43(2):216-220.
    [Abstract](1462) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.77 M](2162)
    Abstract:
    Considering the requirements of provincial public meteorological service system, combined with the existing meteorological service products and information networks in Sichuan Province,the overall architecture design of provincial public weather services system is proposed, which uses the advanced network service technology, including the integration of provinceprefecturecounty basic service products, the production of the specialised products, the classification of clients, and so on. This system aims to enhance this design as a universal model across China and provides a reference for this industry by means of the construction and application of public meteorological service system in Sichuan Province. The system has put to use in June 2013, and the application indicates that it has high efficiency, relability, utilization efficiency, and practicality. The model of the meteorological service system is applied in Yunnan Meteorological Service.
    10  Application of Virtual Desktop in CountyLevel Meteorological Service
    Dou Yiwen Liu Guohong Yan Dongwei Liu Yanan
    2015, 43(2):221-225.
    [Abstract](1630) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.07 M](1561)
    Abstract:
    In order to overcome the shortage of computer resources, the difficulties in computer maintenance, big data sharing needs in countylevel meteorological service, and problems in the resource integration, the Beijing Meteorological Service established a virtual server cluster and virtual desktop based on virtual technology. The results show that users in countylevel meteorological service can access MICAPS (Meteorological Information Comprehensive Analysis and Process System) and VIPS (Veryshortrange Interactive Prediction System) in the municipal meteorological service, and other library resources in the China Meteorological Administration through a virtual desktop by lowerbandwidth. The virtual server cluster created by the Beijing Meteorological Service is effectively to meet the rapidgrowting demand of server resources. It can be seen that virtualization technology is necessary for the optimization and improvement of information technological resources in the meteorological department.
    11  Key Techniques of 3D MeteoGIS Platform
    Zhang Xuequan Wang Wei Wang Peng Xing Ping
    2015, 43(2):226-231.
    [Abstract](1442) [HTML](0) [PDF 4.45 M](1735)
    Abstract:
    Concerning the development of threedimensional GIS application and the higher demands in visualization of meteorological service in the efficient policymaking support, a method of developing threedimensional meteorological GIS with independent intellectual property rights is presented. A description is made from the design of system, functions, data accessing, components, and the implementation technology of meteorological data organization, meteorological plotting, and 2D and 3D meteorological data drawing. The system can efficiently load massive twodimensional and threedimensional meteorological data, and support meteorological plotting, analysis, and other functions. The platform runs steadily and has outstanding visual effect. It is useful for meteorological data process, numerical weather prediction, meteorological simulation and other meteorological services.
    12  Application of MD5 Encryption Technology in Retrieval Platform of Meteorological Archives
    Huang Zhi GaoYujie TangBingbing
    2015, 43(2):232-235.
    [Abstract](1238) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.20 M](1378)
    Abstract:
    In order to better use of digitized historical meteorological archives, a retrieval platform of meteorological digital archive is built within the meteorological network based on .Net, which uses the MD5 algorithm to encrypt user login passwords and digital archive file names, can effectively protect the user’s password information and shield the naming rules of digital files, as well as keep track of user behavior management, along with the scaling operation of images in digital archives in Flash. The platform can retrieve different types of historical meteorological digital archives, effectively improve availability and service of meteorological digital archives, and promote the digital information sharing transformation of meteorological digital archive service.
    13  Usage Difference between OSSMO 2010 and OSSMO 2004
    Wang Li Huang Siyuan Chen Weichao Chen Fengyun
    2015, 43(2):236-239.
    [Abstract](1514) [HTML](0) [PDF 515.67 K](1604)
    Abstract:
    A new automatic weather station, which is capable to add new sensors, is developed based on the advanced CAN technology. The software, hardware, lightning protection, processing speed, and storage capacity of the new automatic weather station are improved. Developed from the operational software OSSMO 2004, the new version OSSMO 2010 is stable, flexible, extensible, and usable. Aiming to discuss differences between the two versions, comparison ansd analysis are conducted. Some changes in parameter settings, data files, radiation and evaporation data maintenance in OSSMO 2010 are made, and the data processing of OSSMO 2010 is the same as OSSMO 2004 Using this method, the seamless integration of observation can be realized. The particular differences and processing methods of the software are discussed, which is useful for observers in stations to be familiar with OSSMO 2010 quickly.
    14  Implementation Technology of MIMPBased New Generation Meteorological Communication System
    Xing Liping Li Zhonghua Liu Mengyu
    2015, 43(2):240-243.
    [Abstract](1501) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.39 M](1824)
    Abstract:
    Concerning the problem that some special uplink data cannot directly access the provinciallevel new generation meteorological communication system, the Meteorological Information Monitoring Platform (MIMP) of Hubei Province is developed. The implementation technology of the MIMP system and the uplink data processing and transmission process of GPS/MET, lightning, regional stations, and automatic soil moisture are introduced. The MIMP makes up the deficiency of the provinciallevel new generation meteorological communication systems and has become an indispensable part of the provincial center of information transmission in Hubei.
    15  Synoptic Circulation Pattern Clustering Analysis of Severe Convective Weather Based on SelfOrganizing Maps (SOM)
    Min Jingjing Deng Changju Cao Xiaozhong Liu Huanzhu Wang Shigong
    2015, 43(2):244-249.
    [Abstract](2217) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.70 M](1866)
    Abstract:
    Based on the hazardous weather reports, disaster telegraph data and NCEP 1°×1° reanalysis data from 175 stations in the Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (HTB) areas from May to September from 2001 to 2008, the synoptic circulation patterns in the HTB area from May to September, which is objectively divided into four types by using the SelfOrganizing Maps (SOM) method, are identified, and the synoptic characteristics and main severe convective weather types of each synoptic pattern are analyzed. The results indicate that: (1) There are four cluster types of synoptic patterns in the BTH area: the Warm and Wet (WWS) pattern, in which shorttime rainstorms occur mainly in July and August; the Cold Vortex (CV) pattern, in which hails accompanied by shorttime rainstorms and gales occur mainly in June and July; the Northwest Airflow (NA) pattern, in which gales occur mainly in May; and the West Wind Trough (WWT) pattern, in which gales and shorttime rainstorms occur mainly in June and September. (2)The main features of the WWS pattern include warm and humid at low levels, superimposed by dry and cold northwest flow, sufficient water vapor transmission, and strong stratification instability; the main features of the CV pattern include the strong inrush of arid cold air in the middlehigh layer from a stronger northerly airflow and good moisture condition at low levels; the main features of the NA pattern include the strong inrush of arid cold air in the middlehigh layer and strong vertical wind shear; the features of the WWT pattern are not obvious. (3)The NA and CV patterns have the highest frequency of severe convective weather, more than 65%, and the WWS pattern comes second, followed by WWT pattern.
    16  Characteristic Analysis of Train Effects of Summer Heavy Precipitation in Sichuan Basin
    Qing Quan Zhao Jing Ye Ruhui
    2015, 43(2):250-260.
    [Abstract](1360) [HTML](0) [PDF 6.69 M](2136)
    Abstract:
    Using the conventional meteorological data, automatic weather station data, SWAN (Sever Weather Automatically Nowcast System) products, and radar PUP products from the radar over the Sichuan basin, the evolution characteristics of radar echoes and the train effect of lineshaped (banded) echoes for 35 regional rain storms from 2010 to 2013 are analyzed by the statistical method. Results show that initial echoes form usually along the mountain areas at the edge of the basin in the afternoon or before midnight under the influence of topography and 850 hPa winds. The peak period of echo formation is 16:00 to 19:00 The formation mechanisms of lineshaped (banded) and massive echoes in the Sichuan basin are revealed. The heavy rain conceptual models are built for the west, north and southcentral parts of the Sichuan basin. It is the best time to release rainstorm warnings when the echoes become lineshaped (banded) or massive. The accuracy of rainstorm area warning is satisfactory, with the average warning lead time being 5 to 8 hours.
    17  Statistical Characteristics and Circulation Patterns of Hails in Guangdong in Recent 10 Years
    Li Huaiyu He Ruyi Hu Sheng Zhang Yu Luo Cong
    2015, 43(2):261-269.
    [Abstract](1974) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.91 M](2078)
    Abstract:
    The temporal and spatial distributions, circulation patterns and physical quantities of hails in Guangdong in Recent 10 years are analyzed. In Guangdong, hail weather occurs mostly in March, April and May, and hails occurred more frequently in the northern Guangdong and the Xijiang River region. The typical circulation patterns of hails can be divided into three types: cold front with trough (typeⅠ), warm zoon (typeⅡ), and elevated thunderstorms (type Ⅲ). Most severe hails happened in typeⅠ; that is,the cold front accompanies with the lowlevel shear line (vortex) and upper trough (temperature trough), and the surface cold air and the intrusion of temperature trough at upper levels make the atmosphere unstable. Severe convective weather is driven by the cold front, shear line, and trough, and the locations of hails in typeⅠare usually in front of the upperlevel trough, near the cold front and shear line. In typeⅡ, there is no cold front to the south of the Yangtze River on surface, and there is a convergence region of southeasterly and southerly at low levels over Guangdong. The drycold air brought by the upperlevel trough overlaps over the warmmoist air, leading to unstable stratification. The locations of hails in typeⅡare usually in the convergence region in front of the trough. In type Ⅲ, Guangdong is behind a cold front, and there is a lowlevel temperature inversion, and warm and moist air lifting convectively above the temperature inversion. The locations of hails in type Ⅲ are often near the shear line and hails are generally small.The mean environmental physical quantities favorable for severe hails are: the height of 0 ℃ is 4505 m; the height of -20 ℃ is 7632 m; Kindex is 35 ℃; SIindex is -099 ℃; the vertical wind shear is 267×10-3 s-1; the pressure vertical velocity is -28×10-2Pa/s; differential temperature advection between 400 hPa and 700 hPa is -239×10-5℃/s. Severe hails require larger Kindex, vertical wind shear, vertical velocity, differential temperature advection, more water vapor supply and smaller SIindex.
    18  Characteristics of Scattered Radiation Change in Golmud
    Zhang Zhanfeng Zhang Huanping Jin Huiying Ma Xiaoping Liu Zhenhua
    2015, 43(2):270-275.
    [Abstract](1442) [HTML](0) [PDF 965.34 K](1652)
    Abstract:
    By means of the observation data of the Golmud weather station from 1961 to 2012, the characteristics and impact factors of scattered radiation are studied. It is proved that scattered radiation showed a significant decreasing trend at Golmud in 52 years with a decrease rate of 9837 MJ/m2 per 10 years (〖WTBX〗P〖WTBZ〗<005); the scattered radiation curve shows a unimodal trend with the annual maximum being 33332 MJ/m2, accounting for 13% in the annual total, and the minimum being 10835 MJ/m2, accounting for 4% in the annual total. The annual mean of scattered radiation is 261485 MJ/m2, accounting for 38% in the annual global radiation. The amount of scattered radiation in summer (1467 MJ/m2) is 22 times as great as that in winter (654 MJ/m2); the daily change curve of scattered radiation shows also a unimodal trend. The maximum appears around noon, and scattered radiation increases with the total cloud cover; the maximum appears along with cirrostratus and the minimum with cumulus; scattered radiation increases with the increase of solar elevation when there is snow, and the influence of ground snow cover on scattering radiation is mainly due to the increase of the scattered radiation reaching the ground induced by the multiple reflection on the surface and in the atmosphere.
    19  Causal Analysis of a Unusual Continuous Torrential Rainfall Event in Guangdong in Winter 2013
    Deng Wenjian Wu Naigeng Lin Liangxun Zhang Hualong
    2015, 43(2):276-282.
    [Abstract](1562) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.50 M](1749)
    Abstract:
    Guangdong suffered the heaviest continuous torrential rainfall from 13 to 17 December 2013, according to the winter records since 1951 Based on the data of conventional meteorological observation, automatic weather station, and NCEP reanalysis, the characteristics and the possible causes of the continuous torrential rain are analyzed. The results show that the circulation situation at middle and high levels in Asia shows a “ridge in north and trough in south” pattern, which was favorable for the southward moving of cold air and the persistent meeting with the moist southerly from the Bay of Bengal and the South China Sea, and resulted in an unusual local meridional circulation above Guangdong. There appeared intense divergence at upper levels and intense convergence at lower levels, a favorable condition for torrential rainfall. Compared with the continuous freezing rain and snow weather in Guangdong at the beginning of 2008, the meridional wavelength of the ridge and trough was larger, and the extension of the trough was farther south than normal; therefore, the cumulative precipitation in this event was stronger without freezing rainfall.
    20  Causal Analysis of a Strong Wind Process over Yellow and Bohai Seas
    Han Yongqing Zhang Shaolin Guo Junjian
    2015, 43(2):283-288.
    [Abstract](1273) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.58 M](1661)
    Abstract:
    Based on the conventional observational data and NECP/NCAR 1°×1° reanalysis data, a strong wind process happened over the Yellow and Bohai Seas on 5 and 6 December 2012 is analyzed. Results show that there were three phases: the largescale baric gradient wind caused by cold air and surface cyclone led to the gale; the surface allobaric field and its gradient resulted in rapidly increased wind speed during the initial stage; the greater the 3hour pressure change, the larger the allobaric gradient, the greater the change in wind speed. When the north wind prevailed, the positive gradient was consistent with wind direction, and the role of transforming speed growth was more obvious. The complement of highlevel cold advection and the diffusion of lower downstream cold advection have important influence on the course of the strong wind process.
    21  Characteristics of a Fog Process in Eastern Inner Mongolia
    Gao Yu Liu Yanping Gao Hongxia
    2015, 43(2):289-294.
    [Abstract](1263) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.24 M](1535)
    Abstract:
    A heavy fog event with visibility less than 1000 meters covering most parts of Hinggan League on 21 and 22 October 2013 is analyzed. The conventional data on the MICAPS system, radiosonde data, and NCEP 25° × 25° reanalysis data are used to diagnose and analyze this fog process. The results show that: the foggy weather process lasted two days. The strongest fog occurred in the day time of 21 and 22 October with the minimum visibility less than 100 meters. The fog occursred in the southwest airflow at 500 hPa and the warm ridge at 850 hPa, and the forehead of a lowpressure field and a weak high pressure field are manifested on the ground. A stable existence of an inversion layer and southeast warm transportation provided favorable conditions for fog maintenance. The decreasing of ground humidity caused by the strong ascending air in the front of the highaltitude cold vortex is the main reason for the dissipation of the fog.
    22  Comparison and Application of Four Drought Indices in Winter Wheat Area in Anhui Province
    Wang Sheng Tian Hong Zhang Cunjie Xie Wusan
    2015, 43(2):295-301.
    [Abstract](1238) [HTML](0) [PDF 7.80 M](1423)
    Abstract:
    Droughts are the main agrometeorological disasters during winter wheat growth periods, which seriously influence the growth and yields of winter wheat. Taking the winter wheat growing area of Anhui Province as an example, based on the daily meteorological data from 36 meteorological stations of the winter wheat area from 1960 to 2012, the Crop Water Deficit Index (CWDI), Comprehensive meteorological drought Index (CI), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Precipitation Anomaly percentage (PA) are calculated, and the four kinds of drought indices are compared and analyzed. The results show that PA and SPI are extremely consistent in crop growth season. The temporalspatial distributions of drought days calculated by the four drought indices are consistent in winter wheat growth season in total. SPI and PA indices have excellent stability of computation. However, they do not consider the expenditure of water, so that they are easy to exaggerate the level of drought; CI and CWDI indices take both recent rainfall situation and water balance into account, and can better characterize droughts. Considering the crop coefficient, CWDI can reveal the status of crop water deficiency and drought events in winter wheat growing season especially. In addition, according to correlation analysis between yield reduction rate and four drought indices, CWDI has better applicability in the monitoring and evaluation of drought development of winter wheat in Anhui.
    23  Hazard Analysis of Continuous Droughts in Southwestern Sichuan Based on Copula Function
    Zhang Jing Wang Haigong Ni Changjian Fan Jianglin Yan Jun
    2015, 43(2):302-308.
    [Abstract](1153) [HTML](0) [PDF 6.92 M](1607)
    Abstract:
    Based on the seasonal precipitation data from 1960 to 2010 in the southwestern Sichuan, combining the percentages of precipitation anomaly, the Copula method is applied to construct the hazard evaluation model of continuous droughts between adjacent seasons for each weather station in the southwestern Sichuan. The results indicate that the Copula function can be applied to construct the hazard evaluation model of continuous droughts between adjacent quarters at each station in the southwestern Sichuan. It is concluded:(1) the hazard degree of spring and summer continuous droughts is the lowest in the southwestern Sichuan, as low as 452% in Leshan.(2) the hazard degree of winter and spring continuous droughts is the highest, high up to 2899% in Panzhihua. (3) by contrast, the hazard degree of spring and summer continuous drought for Panzhihua is the highest, while the lowest in Leshan. For the same kind of continuous droughts, the risks for different stations are different. In general, when there are severe droughts in the adjacent seasons, the risk of continuous droughts is the lowest; when there are light droughts in the adjacent seasons, the risk of continuous drought was the highest.
    24  Prediction of First Flowering Date of Prunus Discoidea in Beijing Yuyuantan Park Using Phenological Model
    Zhang Aiying Zhang Jianhua Ga Yingxia Guo Wenli Wang Huanjiong
    2015, 43(2):309-313.
    [Abstract](1427) [HTML](0) [PDF 655.29 K](1541)
    Abstract:
    Base on the data of daily temperature from 1981 to 2012 and the rolling forecasting of daily temperature in March 2014 at the Haidian meteorological station, the predicting of first flowering date of Prunus discoidea in Beijing Yuyuantan Park is conducted by using the SW Phenological Model. The results show that the errors between the predicted and observed first flowering dates of Prunus discoidea are 3 to 4 days, to predict 10 days ahead of time, and 1 to 2 days, to predict 7 days ahead of time. The deviations of daily temperature prediction are the main cause. The results indicate that the SW model is applicable and well worth popularizing.
    25  Characteristic Analysis of TemporalSpatial Distribution of Haze and Influence Factors in Xi’an
    Jin Lina Qu Jing Zhang Yabin Zhao Rong Zhai Yuan
    2015, 43(2):314-319.
    [Abstract](1455) [HTML](0) [PDF 2.88 M](1762)
    Abstract:
    By choosing the data of 7 basic weather stations and the Xi’an sounding station from 1971 to 2013, in combination with the manual observation of haze day records and the standards of visibility (less than 10 km and the relative humidity less than 80%), the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of haze are analyzed on decadal, seasonal, and monthly scales, as well as the characteristics of wind, rainfall and boundary layer influencing factors when haze appears. The results show: (1) From the 1970s to 2000s, the decadal average number of haze days exhibited a decreaseincreasedecreaseincrease trend in Xi’an. (2) Xian is the main atmospheric pollution area in the Guanzhong area; the number of haze days in Xi’an showed a trend of rise; haze days appeared mainly in winter, and the vulnerable areas remained in the middle East; the influence of urbanization on haze days was significant, more obvious in the urban area and less in the suburbs. (3) The majority of haze weather lasts no more than a week; nearly 95% of haze weather occurred when the wind speed was under 33 m/s; the wind was less than level 1 in more than 50% of haze weather cases. (4) The number of haze days was inversely proportional to the number of rain days, proportional to the number of continuous no rainy days; the low monthly average number of longest continuous no rainy days appeared from April to September, and haze days are few. (5) The special basin topography, the climate trend of yearbyyear decreasing wind speed, and urban industrial pollution in Xi’an are important impact factors for haze weather and its fluctuations.
    26  Impact Analysis of Urbanization on Air Temperature of ChongqingOutskirts
    Ji Li Li Qiang Zhang Shuang Ma Jun Wang Zhihui Chen Xiang Si Yunyan Ran Jing
    2015, 43(2):320-325.
    [Abstract](1132) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.03 M](1782)
    Abstract:
    Impact Analysis of Urbanization on Air Temperature of ChongqingOutskirts
    27  AHPBased Classification of Lightning Protection for Heritage Buildings
    Zhang Huaming Liu Yaolong Zhang Yijun Lu Xi Li Qiang Li Yunfei
    2015, 43(2):326-330.
    [Abstract](1301) [HTML](0) [PDF 479.54 K](1575)
    Abstract:
    Through the investigation of the regularities of lightning disasters for heritage buildings, it is proposed that the assessing indicators of lightning protection for heritage buildings include such factors as the value of heritage buildings, lightning density, the environment, service facilities, heritage building height, surrounding trees, building structure, history, etc. Using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to determine the index weight, according to the protection level of heritage buildings and the regularities of lightning disasters and lightning activity, the current national standards, and referring to the Likert scale and the equal weight index to evaluate the indexes, the classification evaluation model of heritage buildings is established. The results are of certain significance to the protection of heritage buildings.
    28  Calculation Method of Lightning Equivalent Area of Special Buildings
    Li Jingxiao Song Pingjian Li Rujian Lu Xi Zhang Yulong
    2015, 43(2):331-337.
    [Abstract](1357) [HTML](0) [PDF 7.15 M](1664)
    Abstract:
    The offset position and the expanded width, with which the lightning equivalent area is calculated, are analyzed by establishing the related model and mathematical formula, according to the logical relationship of equivalent area calculation, taking the slopeshaped building and domeshaped building as examples. For the single eaves, the double eaves of ancient buildings or ancient towers, the offset positions should be judged from the relationship of the horizontal distance(〖WTBX〗L〖WTBZ〗)and the vertical distance (〖WTBX〗H〖WTBZ〗) between the eaves and roof (top). For the domeshaped or ellipticalshaped roof buildings,the mathematical formulas from the outside to the central axis are established by using the formula of the roof model. Then the derivatives of the formulas are evaluated. The coordinates with the derivatives being zero (i.e., offset point positions) and the corresponding expanded widths are obtained. The equivalent areas are gained by the means of offsetting and area calculation with AutoCAD software, which provides reference for the accurate calculation of equivalent areas in lightning protection design and disaster risk assessment.
    29  Effectiveness Assessment of Precipitation Enhancement in Warm Clouds over Zhouning Reservoir in Fujian
    Chen Shaoqin Ye Debiao Lin Changcheng
    2015, 43(2):338-342.
    [Abstract](1155) [HTML](0) [PDF 856.58 K](1601)
    Abstract:
    Using the experiment data of groundbased artificial rain enhancement in warm clouds carried out in Zhouning Reservoir in Fujian from April 2012 to August 2013, the rain enhancement effectiveness under different conditions is analyzed based on the effectiveness assessment of all cloud seeding experiments with the regional correlation method. The results show that the average enhancement of rainfall in warm clouds in Zhouning Reservoir reaches 51 mm; the effectiveness of rain enhancement is most obvious in warm clouds under the influence of the warm and moist air flowing from southwest; also, the multipoint and multitime rain enhancement operation can help improve the effectiveness. The effectiveness assessment on precipitation enhancement concludes that the precipitation enhancement in warm clouds with grounded stoves is suitable for southern areas.
    30  Analysis of Meteorological Disaster Warning Signal Distribution Characteristics and Warning in Guangxi
    Huang Guilan Zhao Yu Ma Jihua Wang Qingguo Chen Yang
    2015, 43(2):343-348.
    [Abstract](1319) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.45 M](2004)
    Abstract:
    The temporal and spatial distribution characteristics,the frequency of early warning release, and the accurate rate of meteorological disaster warnings in Guangxi are studied by using the warning notices issued in Guangxi from 2009 to 2012 and the evaluation forms,by means of classification and statistical methods. The results show that such three kinds of disaster weather warnings as heavy rain, lightning, high temperature are most frequently issued. The total number of warnings in the western Guangxi is less than that in the eastern Guangxi. The accuracy rate of the issued warnings is relatively high, and the proportion of advance warnings is the biggest in correct warnings. Considering the new situation faced by early warning, some countermeasures are given to further improve weather forecasting and the level of meteorological warning.

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