Application of Grey Forecasting Model to Area Rainfall Prediction in Upstream of Chanjiang River
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Abstract:
Based on the numerical forecast products, the reliability of numerical rainfall forecast products is analyzed by using the grey relational grade and the area rainfall prediction models are established with the grey forecasting methods for five areas in upstream of the Changjiang River. In 2001 and 2002, the grey forecasting method performed well in the operational forecasting practice in summer.