青島地區短時強降水雷達回波特征與中小尺度系統分析
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2016年青島市氣象局青年科研專項課題(2016qdqxq25)、2018年青島市氣象局科研課題(2018qdqxm01)資助


Radar Echo Characteristics and Meso Microscale Systems of Short-Term Strong Rainfall in Qingdao
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    摘要:

    利用青島地區2011—2015年間32次短時強降水個例的雷達反射率因子、地面雨量站數據和FNL再分析資料對產生短時強降水的中小尺度系統和雷達回波特征進行分析,結果表明:造成短時強降水的中小尺度系統主要為與低空切變(槽)、臺風倒槽或在偏南(北)氣流中局地發展的對流相聯系的輻合區或中小尺度輻合線;雷達回波多表現為中尺度強回波帶,其移向與回波帶長軸的夾角較小,或為局地發展少動的強對流單體;雷達回波剖面顯示回波按質心高度可分為大陸強對流型和熱帶海洋型,大陸強對流型強降水的平均反射率因子垂直廓線強度總體明顯強于熱帶海洋型,對流發展更加旺盛,熱帶海洋型強回波集中在低層,在近地面最強,而大陸強對流型回波懸垂明顯,最強回波位于2 km左右;針對大陸強對流型和熱帶海洋型兩種不同類型的短時強降水,采用分型ZI關系法進行定量降水估測能夠較好地反映強降水的落區和極值,相比于固定ZI關系法, 20 mm〖DK〗·h-1以上雨強的相對誤差由70%左右下降到30%左右。

    Abstract:

    The mesomicroscale systems and radar echo characteristics during 32 shortterm strong rainfall cases in Qingdao from 2011 to 2015 are analyzed based on the CINRAD/SA radar reflectivity factor, automatic raingauge and FNL reanalysis data. The results show that the mesomicroscale systems that led to shortterm strong rainfall are the mesoscale convergence areas or lines related to the lowlevel shear line (trough), inverted typhoon trough or local convections in Southerly (Northerly). The radar echoes mostly show as a mesoscale strong echo band or local strong convective cells, and the angle between moving direction and long axis of the echo band is small, and otherwise the moving speed of local cells is slow. The shortterm strong rainfall can be divided into the continental convection type and tropical marine type by the centroid height of radar reflectivity. The average vertical profile of reflectivity of the continental convection type is generally stronger than that of the tropical marine type, which brings much stronger convective activity. The strongest reflectivity of the tropical marine type occurs in the low level with the maximum near the land surface; however, the continental convection type has clear hanging echoes with the maximum at 2 km altitude. Two different ZI relations corresponding to the two rainfall types are used for quantitative precipitation estimation. Compared with the fixed ZI relation, the result from the categorical relations shows better performance for the displacement and value of shortterm strong rainfall, and the relative error is reduced from 70% to 30% when the rainfall intensity is greater than 20 mm·h-1.

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李欣,張璐.青島地區短時強降水雷達回波特征與中小尺度系統分析[J].氣象科技,2020,48(3):387~395

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  • 收稿日期:2019-05-19
  • 定稿日期:2020-01-17
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  • 在線發布日期: 2020-06-18
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