茶葉寒凍害天氣指數保險設計
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福建省科學與技術廳社會發展引導性(重點)項目(2018Y0002);福建省氣象局青年科技專項項目(2017Q11)資助


Design of IndexBased Weather Insurance for Tea Cold and Freezing Damage
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    摘要:

    以茶葉萌芽至展葉期寒凍害為突破口,利用1987—2016年福建省泉州市安溪縣17個自動氣象站2—4月的逐日氣象數據及安溪各茶樹種植區產量數據,確定茶葉寒凍害的天氣指數保險氣象指標,分析日極端最低氣溫與茶葉減產率的關系,建立了茶葉寒凍害指數模型。計算安溪不同區域茶葉種植區不同等級寒凍害的發生概率,應用純保費率方法厘定了保險費率,并根據福建省政策性農業保險的實際情況,制定茶葉不同區域種植區寒凍害指數保險觸發條件、賠付標準,設計了安溪縣茶葉寒凍害天氣指數保險合同。設計的茶葉寒凍害天氣指數保險產品以客觀氣象數據作為定損依據,可以為茶農提供一種有效的風險轉嫁方式,也為保險公司增加新險種提供了技術支撐。

    Abstract:

    By studying the cold and freezing damage to tea from budding period to leaf expansion period, this paper uses the daybyday meteorological data of February to April from 17 weather stations from 1987 to 2016 in Anxi County and the yield data of various tea growing regions in Anxi to determine the meteorological indicators of cold and freezing damage to tea trees for indexbased weather insurance, analyze the relationship between daily extreme low temperature and tea failure rate, as well as establish the cold and freezing damage index model of tea trees. Moreover, we calculate the incidence of cold and freezing damage of different severity in different tea growing regions in Anxi, apply the pure premium method to determine the premium, and based on the actual situation of policyguided agricultural insurance in Fujian Province, formulate the compensation thresholds and compensation standards for cold and freezing damage insurance in different growing regions of tea trees and design the insurance contract for tea cold and freezing damage weather indexes in Anxi County. The designed insurance products based on tea cold and freezing damage weather indexes take the objective meteorological data as the loss assessment basis, first time in agricultural insurance and can serve as an effective risk transfer means for tea growers. Moreover, it provides technical support for insurance companies to develop new insurance products.

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汪春輝,陳治杰,陳家金,趙伯聽.茶葉寒凍害天氣指數保險設計[J].氣象科技,2020,48(1):141~146

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  • 收稿日期:2019-01-26
  • 定稿日期:2019-06-13
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  • 在線發布日期: 2020-02-26
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