氣候變化對四川省主要農作物典型生育期的影響
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中國氣象局西南區域重大科研業務項目(2014-8)、四川農田土壤墑情監測及預報技術的示范應用(15010107) 和高原大氣與環境四川省重點實驗室開放課題(PAEKL2017C4)資助


Impacts of Climate Change on Typical Growth Periods of Major Crops in Sichuan
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    摘要:

    采用氣候傾向率和線性趨勢法分析了四川省農業氣候資源特征以及主要農作物典型生育期變化趨勢。結果表明,1961—2014年全省大部地區≥10 ℃初日呈現提前趨勢、終日呈推遲趨勢,≥10 ℃積溫呈升高趨勢。在此背景下,玉米和水稻出苗期呈提前趨勢,速率分別為66 d/10a和35 d/10a;玉米成熟期無明顯變化趨勢,水稻成熟期呈現明顯推遲趨勢,變化速率為24 d/10a;玉米和水稻生育期天數均呈現了不同程度的延長。冬小麥出苗期無明顯變化,而成熟期呈現提前趨勢,速率達27 d/10a,生育期天數呈現顯著縮短趨勢,速率達49 d/10a。總體而言,積溫的增加、溫度生長期天數的延長為生育期長的作物品種種植提供了必要條件,通過品種的選擇和播期調整,可以充分發揮資源優勢,趨利避害,從而提高農作物產量。

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    This research uses the annual climate tendency rate and the linear trend method to analyze the characteristics of agroclimate resources over Sichuan Province and the growth period change of main crops in recent years. The results show that the beginning date of 10 ℃ advanced, the ending date of 10 ℃ postponed, and the accumulated temperature above 10 ℃ increased in most parts of Sichuan Province from 1961 to 2014Under this background, the seedling stages of maize and rice showed an advanced trend, with the rate being 66 days per 10 years and 35 days per 10 years; the mature period of maize has no obvious change in trend and the rice showed a postponed maturity period with the change rate being 24 days per 10 years; the growth periods of maize and rice both lengthened at different levels. The seedling stage of winter wheat had no obvious change; the mature period showed an advance trend, with the rate being 27 days per 10 years; the growth period significantly shortened, with the rate being 49 days per 10 years. In general, the increase of the accumulated temperature and the prolonged growth period provide necessary conditions for the crop varieties with a long growth period. Through the varieties selection and sowing date adjustment, we can sufficiently make use of the resource advantages to increase the crop yields.

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陳東東,王雪姣,栗曉瑋,王森.氣候變化對四川省主要農作物典型生育期的影響[J].氣象科技,2017,45(5):889~895

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  • 收稿日期:2016-10-20
  • 定稿日期:2017-03-29
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  • 在線發布日期: 2017-10-31
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