“蘇拉”臺風引發福建西部大暴雨成因分析
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中國氣象局預報員專項項目(CMAYBY2014034)、中國氣象局關鍵技術集成項目(CMAGJ2015M30)、福建省自然科學基金項目(2014J01148)共同資助


Causal Analysis of Heavy Rainfall over Western Fujian Province Caused by Typhoon Saola
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    摘要:

    利用常規天氣資料、NCEP 1°×1°再分析資料、地面降水資料以及福建新一代天氣雷達資料對2012年“蘇拉”臺風登陸后引發福建西部大暴雨天氣成因進行分析,結果表明:“蘇拉”登陸后高空渦旋受大陸高壓東側偏北氣流引導向偏南方向移動,同時,臺風登陸后進入大的環境風垂直切變區并向切變左側傾斜,使得臺風南傾結構進一步加大。臺風結構南傾為福建西部大暴雨區提供了良好的動力條件,“蘇拉”自身帶來的水汽及臺風南側西南氣流為暴雨區提供了充足的水汽來源,高空冷空氣入侵與低層的高溫高濕區形成上冷下暖結構呈現出條件不穩定層結,有利于深厚濕對流產生,結合充分的水汽供應,出現大暴雨天氣。大范圍暖平流配合風速輻合,中高層冷空氣入侵與低層西南暖濕空氣結合以及低層的西南急流建立是三個強降水階段對應的中尺度天氣特征。

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    Utilizing the conventional meteorological data, NECP 1°×1° reanalysis data, surface precipitation and Fujian CINRAD/SA data, the cause of the heavy rainfall over the western Fujian Province after Saola Typhoon landing is analyzed. The results show that the northerly flow of Continental High Pressure led to the southward movement of Saola’s upper vortex. When the typhoon entered the large environmental vertical wind shear zone, the typhoon tilted to the left of the shearline, which made typhoon move more southward. The south tilting structure provided favorable dynamic condition over heavy rainfall region. The water vapor transportation supplied by Typhoon Saola and the typhoon’s southwest airflow provided sufficient moisture for the heavy rainfall. The cold air intrusion at upper levels and warm and moist air at low levels induced the conditional instability, which was favorable for the development of deep wet convection. Warm advection combined with velocity convergence, the incursion of dry cold air at upper level, warm and moist air at low levels, and the establishment of the southwest jet at lower levels were three mesoscale systems favorable for the severe rain.

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馮晉勤,蔡菁,賴巧珍.“蘇拉”臺風引發福建西部大暴雨成因分析[J].氣象科技,2017,45(1):149~157

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  • 收稿日期:2016-01-11
  • 定稿日期:2016-03-24
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  • 在線發布日期: 2017-02-28
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