Abstract:Based on the ECMWF, Japan, and T213 precipitation data from 2003 to 2006, using the SVM method and CMSVM application software, the crossvalidation with random samples and the gradual approaching of model kernel parameters are performed, and then the 24hour SVM heavy rainfall forecasting models are established for 16 subregions in the Wuhan region, which have been put to use in the realtime operation from May to July in 2007. The results show that the TS points for Hubei,Hunan and Henan are 33.59%, and 34.69%, 34.15% and 31.71%, respectively, which proved the forecasting capability and reference value of the SVM method.