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Volume 34,Issue 3,2006 Table of Contents

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  • 1  Impact Analysis of Radar Location on Precipitation Estimation over Alpine Areas
    Xu Balin Liu Liping Yang Ming Zhang Wancheng Chen Zhaowu
    2006, 34(3).
    [Abstract](1460) [HTML](0) [PDF 0.00 Byte](286)
    Abstract:
    高山雷達站天線高度對雷達的垂直探測范圍影響較大,加之中小尺度災害性天氣演生、發展的關鍵區域在高度1500~4500m左右,所以高山雷達站在選址時應考慮當地零度層平均高度和雷達的垂直探測范圍。通過定量估測層狀云降水的個例實踐,發現探測高度會限制定量估測降水,探測高度對近距離降水估測影響較小,但對遠距離降水估測影響較大,原因主要是雷達的垂直探測范圍及當地零度層亮帶高度的影響。故在高山雷達站選址中應考慮雷達的垂直探測范圍及當地零度層亮帶高度的影響,同時對已建設完成的高山天氣雷達應考慮對高山雷達做0。仰角的觀測可行性研究。
    2  Approaches to Atmospheric Water Vapor Profile Sounding by GPS
    Cao Yunchang Chen Yongqi Li Pinghua Fang Zongyi
    2006, 34(3):241-245.
    [Abstract](1529) [HTML](0) [PDF 152.27 K](2304)
    Abstract:
    The slant wet delay of GPS signals is subjected to the non-uniform distribution of the water vapor in the atmosphere.The three dimensional field of water vapor can be recovered by the computerized tomography(CT) method through accurately determining the slant wet delays from satellites to antennas on the ground.Two sorts of methods for determining the slant wet delays,the point precise positioning(PPP) and the double-difference method,are introduced.Two CT approaches for obtaining the water vapor profiles((Gaussian) constraint and the Kalman filtering) are discussed.
    3  Development of Meteorological Lidar
    Wang Qingmei Zhang Yimo
    2006, 34(3):246-249.
    [Abstract](2450) [HTML](0) [PDF 123.46 K](3344)
    Abstract:
    Meteorological Lidar is one of main means of atmospheric sounding, being applicable for probing clouds, fog, visibility, temperature, density, and atmospheric wind fields and for tracing atmosphere gases. The development of a series of Lidar used in meteorological research and service is introduced, including semiconductor Lidar, micro-pulse Lidar, Mie Lidar, Doppler Lidar, differential absorption Lidar, and Raman Lidar. The meteorological Lidar with high repetition rate and wide detecting range and without causing damage to human eyes is considered the trend of meteorological Lidar development. Solid Lidar has bright application prospects in atmospheric probing and semiconductor Lidar is an ideal tool to measure the height of cloud bases.
    4  Application Experiment of BP Neural Network Model in Long-Term Weather Forecasts
    Liu De~ Li Jing~ Li Yonghua~ Xiang Bo~ Li Geng~
    2006, 34(3):250-253.
    [Abstract](1941) [HTML](0) [PDF 124.45 K](1969)
    Abstract:
    A forecast model for long-term weather forecast is established in terms of a BP neural network using solar-lunar positions as input factors. The results of the operational experiments show that the model is superior compared to the model using solar-lunar position probability directly. The forecasting capability of the model based on the BP neural network technology is good for relatively large rainfall and temperature-increasing/decreasing weather processes. It is an important and useful model for operational forecasting practice at present.
    5  Dynamic and Moisture Characteristics of Frontal Heavy Rains under Summer Monsoon System over Guangxi
    Li Xianghong~
    2006, 34(3):254-259.
    [Abstract](1997) [HTML](0) [PDF 1.22 M](1730)
    Abstract:
    By means of high-resolution MRI TBB data and NCEP reanalyzed data,an analysis is made of 13 frontal large-scale rainstorm processes influenced by the summer monsoon system in flood season(May to July) from 1980 to 2002 in Guangxi Autonomous Region.Through composite analysis combining with case studies,the evolutionary characteristics of the influencing systems(upper-level jet, low-level jet,South Asia High,etc.) and the dynamical and vapor characteristics of rainstorms are analyzed by using the high-resolution TBB data.The results indicate that Guangxi locates,during rainstorms,in the positive divergent area within the right exit region of the high-level jet,the intensive updraft region at 500 hPa,to the left side of the low-level jet;the coupling between highlevel and low-level jets is the trigger mechanism of rainstorms;further more,the analysis of wet potential vorticity indicates that heavy rainstorms are more likely to occur while the vertical component of moist potential vorticity being less than 0 and the vertical component of moist potential vorticity at the isobaric surface being greater than 0 near 700 hPa.
    6  Relationship between Waterlogging over Hubei Province and Air-Sea Interaction
    Zhang Shujun
    2006, 34(3):260-265.
    [Abstract](1424) [HTML](0) [PDF 140.52 K](1596)
    Abstract:
    Using the data of North Pacific SST,subtropical high characteristic indices and deluges in Hubei Province from 1951 to 1994,a detailed investigation is made on the relationship between deluges in Hubei Province and North Pacific SST,and subtropical high characteristic indices.The results show that there is close relationship between the abnormality of SST in several key regions and deluges.Especially the abnormal distribution of subtropical high in spring and early summer is the main factor influencing deluges in Hubei Province.Besides,the abnormal changes of SST and subtropical high are closely connected: the former is about 1 to 3 months earlier than the latter.Using the statistic analysis method,the models are established by using sea temperature and subtropical high characteristic factors respectively to predict heavy waterlogging over Hubei.The models were put to trial use in Hubei flood season.The result indicates that the heavy waterlogging in Hubei has close relation with air-sea interaction.The abnormality of the sea temperature over the North Pacific Ocean resulted in the abnormality of subtropical high,which caused heavy waterlogging over Hubei.
    7  Drought/Flood Climatic Features over Eastern Northwest China
    Huang Zuying~ Wang Fanqiang~ Hu Chunjuan~
    2006, 34(3):266-270.
    [Abstract](1538) [HTML](0) [PDF 146.29 K](1796)
    Abstract:
    Using the drought/flood data from representative stations over the eastern Northwest China from 1470 to 2003 collected by the Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, according to different features of terrain, physiognomy and climate, the eastern Northwest China is divided into three climatic regions. By means of statistic methods such as periodic analysis and coil3 wavelet transform, an analysis is made of the decadal variation of drought/flood index in three climatic regions and the difference among them. Results indicate that the spatial and temporal distribution features of drought/flood in three regions are different, and the variation trend and periods not only show consistency, but also exist obvious difference. The drought climate tended gradually to be normal or became wet in the north and the central parts of the area in past 534 years. From 1470 to 1724, the drought climate in the south part tended to be wet. However, after 1724, the wet climate became dry again. There are notable periods of 25 and 10 years in drought/flood in the three regions, respectively. In addition, there are obvious periods of 14 to 15 years in the central part. It is illustrated that the alternation of droughts and floodd is more distinct in the central part than those in the north and south parts.
    8  Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of Annual Precipitation in Ningbo
    Tu Xiaoping Qian Yanzhen
    2006, 34(3):271-274.
    [Abstract](2986) [HTML](0) [PDF 163.14 K](2075)
    Abstract:
    Based on the 51-year annual precipitation data of Ningbo from 1953 to 2003,a detailed analysis is performed by means of several diagnosis methods,including EOF,climatic abrupt change testing,Mexico hat wavelet and spectrum analysis.The results show that annual rainfall amount across the city tends to descend from the southwest to north-northeast,which accords with the topographic features of the city;the difference between maximum and minimum precipitation is about 400 mm.EOF1 of spatial characteristic vectors indicates that the annual precipitation of all the seven weather stations has a coincident tendency.Ningbo experienced an abrupt climate change in annual precipitation during the late 1960's and the early 1970's,and another significant change took place in recent years.The annual precipitation has been less than normal since the beginning of the 21st century with the minimum in 2003.There is a quasi-four year periodicity in annual precipitation.
    9  Characteristics of Helicity Variation during a Heavy Rainfall Event Caused by Easterly Wave
    Zheng Feng
    2006, 34(3):275-279.
    [Abstract](1349) [HTML](0) [PDF 215.17 K](1629)
    Abstract:
    利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析資料對2001年8月3~4日浙南閩北的東風波暴雨過程,根據螺旋度(Helicity)分析了過程中的暴雨演變以及雁蕩山脈誘生中尺度低渦發生發展的原因。同時,利用中尺度有限區域模式MM5V2對該東風波誘生中尺度低渦進行模擬。結果表明:螺旋度大值中心強度和位置的演變較好地反映了暴雨落區和中尺度低渦的誘生、移動,螺旋度的時空演變對暴雨發生有一定的預示意義,螺旋度計算較中尺度模式得出誘生低渦初生位置、路徑預報準確率高,二者集成可以提高誘生低渦的預報準確率。
    10  Diagnostic Analysis of a Persistent Heavy Rainfall in Yunnan influenced by Bay of Bengal Tropical Cyclone
    Zhou Guolian~ Lu Yabin~ Zhang Tengfei~ Pu Guiming~ Xu Balin~ Gao Mingqi~
    2006, 34(3):280-285.
    [Abstract](1441) [HTML](0) [PDF 728.12 K](1889)
    Abstract:
    An analysis is made of a persistent heavy rainfall process in Yunnan occurred from 18 to 20 in May 2004 by means of MICAPS data and FY-2 satellite cloud pictures. It is found out that main influencing weather systems include the Bay of Bengal Tropical Cyclone, shear line on 700 hPa, and cold front on the ground. The incursion of clod air into the periphery circumfluence of the Bay of Bengal Tropical Cyclone resulted in the strong development of the precipitation system. The plentiful vapor and strong ascending motion brought by the Bay of Bengal Tropical Cyclone, as well as the unstable atmosphere of high temperature and high humidity, provided favorable conditions for the development of the heavy rainfall. The maintaining mechanisms of the heavy rainfall also include the establishment and maintenance of the upper- and lower-level jets, and the continual triggering of strong frontogenesis.
    11  A Case Study of Local Torrential Rainfall Caused by Severe Convection with Doppler Weather Radar Data
    Ding Qinglan Qin Yong Chen Mingxuan Tan Xiaoguang
    2006, 34(3):286.
    [Abstract](1589) [HTML](0) [PDF 224.58 K](1791)
    Abstract:
    Through analyzing the weather situation, a local torrential rain event is analyzed in detail based on the intensity and velocity data from Doppler weather radar as well as vertical wind profilers and two dimensional wind fields derived from velocity data. It is found out that this highly convective local torrential rainfall was caused by both large-scale and mesoscale weather systems. The large-scale circulation provided abundant vapors for the torrential rain; the stratification in Bejing was very unstable, which is a necessary condition for the severe storms; and the low-level mesoscale convergence line triggered and intensified the convection.
    12  Diagnostic Analysis of a Mesocyclone-Indued Hail-Storm Event
    Li Wenjuan~ Zheng Guoguang~ Zhu Junjian~ Li Minjie~
    2006, 34(3):291-295.
    [Abstract](1642) [HTML](0) [PDF 268.25 K](2022)
    Abstract:
    An analysis is made of the process of a hail-storm event occurred in Shandong Province on 27 September 2002. The primary results indicate that the main influencing systems include the southward movement of an upper-level cold trough in cooperation with the low-level shear line and the frontal zone on the ground. The cold advection in the upper air and the warm advection in the lower level resulted in the large-scale unstable zone of potential energy from the middle-level to the low-level of the troposphere. The coupling of a meso-scale low pressure and the divergence zone of an upper-level jet caused strong upward motion. This is a typical small super-cell storm. The mesocyclone is found in the storm by analyzing the radar echo.
    13  Different Methods to Assess Precipitation Stimulation in Beijing Region
    Li Shuyan~
    2006, 34(3):296-300.
    [Abstract](1507) [HTML](0) [PDF 194.88 K](1889)
    Abstract:
    用序列試驗法、回歸分析法、雙比分析法和區域回歸數值模擬試驗方案4種效果評估方法對北京地區2001~2004年6~9月的37次火箭、高炮催化作業進行效果評估,并比較各種方法的優缺點.結果表明:①這4種方案統計結果均得到顯著的增雨效果,平均增雨分別為:用序列試驗的方法6.99%,用回歸分析法30.68%,雙比分析法20.11%,區域回歸數值模擬試驗方案13.37%.②誤差分析表明,區域回歸數值模擬試驗方案產生的絕對誤差僅為2.1%~2.2%,是一種較科學的評價方法.
    14  Automatic Airspace Application System of Weather Modification by Cannons and Rockets
    Huang Yimei~
    2006, 34(3):301-305.
    [Abstract](1548) [HTML](0) [PDF 117.61 K](2044)
    Abstract:
    The system of airspace application for weather modification by cannons and rockets in Henan Province was developed in order to solve the problems encountered in the process of airspace request by telephone, such as slow transmitting, consuming too much manpower and frequent failures. The system makes full use of the advanced meteorological operation network, adopts the Client/Sever mode, and can deal with the real time information about the airspace requests and answers by computers. It can also save automatically the information of the airspace requests and answers in the database, the seeding information, and the information about seeding effectiveness and operating positions. The system can give alarms and make prior airspace requests while the weather situations being favorable to weather modification. The design method and a new model of the technology system of precipitation enhancement by cannons and rockets are presented.
    15  Analysis of Phenological-Phase Variation of Herbage Plants over Qinghai and Impact of Meteorological Conditions
    Qi Ruying~ Wang Qilan~ Sheng Hongyan~
    2006, 34(3):306-310.
    [Abstract](1930) [HTML](0) [PDF 136.65 K](2387)
    Abstract:
    利用青海省8個農氣觀測站草本植物物候期觀測資料,分析了草本植物物候期變化及其對氣溫、降水、日照變化的響應.結果表明:①草本植物物候期有明顯的地域性.②青海草本植物物候現象生長期除河南、互助等地呈現出縮短趨勢外,其余大部地區呈現出作物生長季延長的趨勢.③草本植物物候對氣溫、降水、日照的響應:氣溫,對上年黃枯期月至當年各物候出現期上月平均氣溫升高1 ℃,草本植物物候期除個別地、個別物候期推遲(1~11 d) ,生長期縮短(5~9 d),絕大部分地區草本植物物候期提早(2~12 d), 生長期延長(3~13 d); 降水,對上年黃枯期月至當年各物候出現期上月降水量增多10 mm,曲麻萊、互助萌動期提早2 d,湟源萌動期推遲1 d,甘德展葉期推遲3 d, 其余響應微弱;日照, 對上年黃枯期月至當年各物候出現期上月的日照時數增多10 h,各地個別物候期提早1 d, 其余響應微弱.
    16  Simulation of Soil Natural Drought Stress Series in Southwestern Shandong Province
    Kong Fanzhong Liu Jimin Wu Leizhu Wang Wei
    2006, 34(3):311-314.
    [Abstract](1319) [HTML](0) [PDF 121.76 K](1607)
    Abstract:
    Owing to the improvement of farmland irrigation in the recent 30 years,the present soil moisture data cannot reflect the variation regularity of natural soil moisture.The variation(gain and loss) of soil moisture is calculated on a ten-day base by using the soil moisture balance equation and the Penman formula.Compared to the soil moisture data without irrigation from 2001 to 2003,the fitting equation and drought index are established and the drought series from 1970 to 2001 on a ten-day base is reconstructed.The results show that the effect of irrigation is well filtrated out in the calculated drought series,which is very close to the natural soil moisture.
    17  Characteristics of Severe Typhoon Rananim and Its Assessment
    Shi Sufen Zhao Ligang
    2006, 34(3):315-318.
    [Abstract](2276) [HTML](0) [PDF 370.55 K](1811)
    Abstract:
    根據0414號臺風“云娜”災情調查,使用模糊聚類方法對1949~2004年影響浙江省的重大臺風災害進行分析比較,認為臺風“云娜”是浙江省1956年以來所遭遇的最嚴重臺風災害.綜合評估結論:①建國以來臺風災害損失與工農業總產值的比值呈上升趨勢,臺風“云娜”造成的經濟損失與當年生產總值之比為3.54:100;②風暴潮為沿海臺風災害的主要因子,建成標準海塘后,大風上升為首要致災因子;③沿海農村新建(構)筑物和城市廣告牌在臺風“云娜”中安全問題突出,民營企業抗災能力也凸顯薄弱環節.
    18  Study of Integrated Water Vapor in Non-Raining Cloud Areas over Oceans from Satellite-Borne Microwave Radiometric Measurements
    Liu Songtao Yan Wei
    2006, 34(3):319-325.
    [Abstract](1253) [HTML](0) [PDF 174.52 K](1684)
    Abstract:
    針對AMSR-E的特點,采用物理統計方法,對洋面非降水云區水汽總量(V)的反演進行了模擬研究,并用實測亮溫數據對反演算式進行了初步驗證.主要結果有:①為了有效解決亮溫隨V值增加而趨于飽和的問題,采用多元線性回歸方法,研究比較了算式中不同亮溫函數形式的效果,結果表明,在反演算式中采用ln(T0-TB)形式有更好的回歸和反演效果,但這種形式不太適合于V值偏大的情況;②采用逐步回歸方法,對各通道不同亮溫函數形式的回歸因子進行了比較分析,引進了對因變量作用最顯著的6個因子,生成了新的反演算式,并且對應于不同V值均有較好的回歸和反演效果;③可以根據V值大小的變化分段采用以上兩種方法生成的反演算式,實際反演的結果與業務產品基本符合.
    19  Measurement and Analysis of Electromagnetic Environment of Meteorological Satellite Ground Station
    Zhu Aijun Liu Bin
    2006, 34(3):326-331.
    [Abstract](1758) [HTML](0) [PDF 174.49 K](1986)
    Abstract:
    An analysis is made of the current actual influence of electromagnetic environment on data receiving at three national meteorological satellite ground stations.The data transmission frequency of China's next generation polar orbit meteorological satellite is given.The necessity of electromagnetic environment measurement and analysis before a ground station is built and while ground station is operating is discussed.Taking the measurement and analysis of the electromagnetic environment of the Beijing meteorological satellite ground station as an example,the measuring principles and the calculation and analysis method are described,including the classification of interference sources,the calculation of allowed maximum interference,measurement system parameters,measuring procedures,and measuring data;and the measuring data is analyzed.Based on the results of the analysis,the interference sources are determined and a solution is presented,including to identify the location of interference sources through radio environment measurement,then coordinating through the administrative agency and meanwhile adopting certain interference-preventing devices on the receiving facility.
    20  Phasic Stability Analysis of Pulse Doppler Weather Radar Transmitter
    Huang Xiao~ Xiong Yi~
    2006, 34(3):332-335.
    [Abstract](1834) [HTML](0) [PDF 121.15 K](2462)
    Abstract:
    A brief introduction is made to the characteristics, structure, and phase stability requirement of the low-phase noise Doppler weather radar transmitter, as well as the key technique problems in having transmitter meet the requirement of the pulse Doppler weather radar. To improve the phase noise, several technique used in the transmitter, including the full-solid modulator, flyback electrification, electrification verification, and synchronous AC square-wave steady-current power supply and so on. An analyzed are made of the main factors that influence the inspecting performance of the pulse Doppler weather radar and the side-band phase noise resulted from the effect of the autoeciousness modulator on the RF pulse signals. The analysis results indicate that the unneeded autoeciousness modulation and noise are produced by a series of sources, and the main factors influencing the phasic stability of the Doppler weather radar include RF-Driven sources, power-supply ripple waves, pulse time jitter, amplitude modulation, microphonic effect, electromagnet induction, electromagnetic interference radiation sources, etc. These unneeded side-band noises limit the sounding capability in clutter of theDopplerweather radar.
    21  Research on Radar Echoes and GIS Technique for Deducing Regional Rainfall
    He Jian Wang Chunlin Mao Xia Sun Xiangming
    2006, 34(3):336.
    [Abstract](1599) [HTML](0) [PDF 155.84 K](1835)
    Abstract:
    An automatic weather station can directly measure the rainfall of a single station or within a small range with higher precision,but it often omits severe rainfall centers or gusts because of its inadequate distribution density.Radars can probe the structure of clouds and precipitation,trace them from beginning to the end in real time,and provide the real-time precipitation of a specific region rapidly,but their measurement errors are relatively large and the precision of local rainfall measurements is not high.Combining automatic weather stations with radars,applying mathematical methods and GIS techniques,the areal rainfall that represents the mean rainfall of a specific region can be obtained.As an example of deducing the areal rainfall,the regression relationship between six-minute accumulative rain by automatic weather stations and radar echoes over Shenzhen is established by means of GIS techniques and the geographic modification of the three factors(longitude,latitude,and sea level elevation).The calculation model of the area rainfall of a specific area on radar map is developed;and then the high-precision high-resolution(spatial) grid fitting rainfall is gained;thus the areal rainfall distribution of a specific area from radar map is obtained.
    22  Statistical Analysis of Faults for CINRAD/SA Radar
    Zhao Ruijin~
    2006, 34(3):344-348.
    [Abstract](1613) [HTML](0) [PDF 105.93 K](1868)
    Abstract:
    The faults of CINRAD/SA radar occurred in one year of operation in Shijiazhuang are analyzed statisticaUy, and the common warning massages and faults, as well as the countermeasures, are introduced. It is pointed out that the running status of CINRAD/SA has close relation with the communication network, computers, and environment temperature of radar. The local environment has obvious influence on the working conditions of radar. Faults are found more frequently in the transmitter, antenna, and control system, which are key parts of routine maintenance. In order to ensure the normal running of radar, it is important to have a safe network management system, high-performance computers, good maintenance, and optimum environment.
    23  Application Prospect of Measurement by Sun Photometer CE318 and Retrieval Methodology
    Ren Yiyong~ Li Xia~ Lu Ming~ Hu Xiuqing~
    2006, 34(3):349-352.
    [Abstract](1915) [HTML](0) [PDF 139.85 K](1793)
    Abstract:
    The CE318 sun photometers are installed at 20 weather stations, which constituted the dust storm network for monitoring aerosol by the China Meteorological Administration since 2002. These measurements have not been well utilized because users are unfamiliar with the principles, data format and retrieval methodology of CE318 sun photometers. The impact of aerosol on climate and the application of data observed by photometers are discussed. At the same time, the retrieval method of sun photometer data, including the calibration and retrieval of aerosol optical depth and the quality control of data, is introduced. Combing with data at Tazhong, the Langley method for calculating the aerosol optical depth and the related issues are described.

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