Objective Analogous Forecasting of High Winds over Yellow Sea and Bohai Sea
- Article
- Figures
- Metrics
- Preview PDF
- Reference
- Related
- Cited by
- Materials
Abstract:
A 24-hour high wind objective forecast method over the Yellow and Bohai Seas was devised through calculating analogous coefficients to identify similar weather patterns, using surface air-pressure as the index, based on the data from MICAPS. A database containing 109 historical high wind events was established. The results of the experiment indicate that the forecasting error is below 20%, which meets the criteria for operational forecasts. The analogous method has the advantagement of being independent of data from foreign countries and being simple and quick in calculation. Therefore, the method can not only complement the daily operational service, but also, more importantly, be used as a weather forecasting method in the case of war and other emergency situations.
Keywords:
Project Supported:
Clc Number:
P457 G633
You are thevisitors
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.