一次低渦暖區暴雨的大氣不穩定和鋒生特征分析
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山東省氣象局重大天氣過程項目(SDTQ2022-08)、山東省氣象局重點科研項目(2022sdqxz11)、山東省氣象局創新團隊(SDCXD2023-3)、山東省氣象局引導類項目(2024SDYD48)共同資助


Atmospheric Instability and Frontogenesis Characteristics Analysis of a Rainstorm in a Warm Low Vortex Region
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    摘要:

    利用常規地面和高空氣象觀測資料、ERA5逐小時再分析資料和雷達資料,對山東一次低渦暖區暴雨的水汽條件和大氣不穩定、鋒生特征等分析。結果表明:本次低渦暖區降水主要出現在暖切變線南部低空急流帶中,低空急流為降水提供了充足的水汽條件,其北端有水汽通量輻合大值區,對強降水有較好的指示意義。降水開始時,中低空有較強的大氣對流不穩定,上升運動呈垂直對流特征;最強降水時段,上升運動由對流和對稱不穩定共同造成,對稱不穩定占主導地位,上升運動呈垂直和傾斜對流混合特征。過程伴有明顯的鋒生,鋒生區內有較強的地轉偏差輻合,為降水的觸發和增強提供動力抬升條件。鋒生函數中散度項和變形項為同量級,散度項是本次過程鋒生的主要因子,其通過觸發降水和影響積云降水回波分布形態,形成沿引導氣流分布的中尺度對流雨帶,中尺度對流雨帶沿引導氣流移動形成“列車效應”,造成強降水。

    Abstract:

    From June 26 to 28, 2022, a regional heavy rainfall event occurred in Shandong Province, characterised by significant precipitation intensity and extensive spatial coverage. This event ranks among the most severe heavy rainfall processes that induce disasters in recent years. The precipitation process is divided into three distinct stages, with warm-sector precipitation driven by a low vortex and low-level jet playing a dominant role in this heavy rainstorm. The instability mechanisms of warm-sector precipitation, as well as the triggering and maintenance of heavy precipitation, present significant challenges for operational forecasting and are the primary focus of this study. Based on conventional surface and upper-air meteorological observation data, ERA5 hourly reanalysis data, and radar data, this study analyses the water vapour conditions, atmospheric instability, and frontogenetic characteristics of this heavy rainfall event. The results indicate that the precipitation process in the warm sector of the low vortex primarily occurred within the low-level jet zone south of the warm shear region of the low vortex. The low-level jet provided ample water vapour conditions for precipitation, while a region of strong water vapour flux convergence north of the jet stream served as an effective indicator for heavy precipitation. At the onset of precipitation in the warm vortex region, strong convective instability was observed in the mid-to-lower troposphere, with upward motion initiated by the release of convective instability, exhibiting vertical convection characteristics. During the peak precipitation period, the ascending motion was influenced by both convective instability and symmetric instability, with symmetric instability being predominant, resulting in a combination of vertical and oblique convective processes. This precipitation process was accompanied by pronounced frontogenesis, featuring strong geostrophic wind deviation convergence in the frontogenesis region, which supplied essential dynamic uplift conditions for precipitation initiation and intensification. Analysis of the deformation term and divergence term in the frontogenesis function reveals that the divergence term was the main factor of frontogenesis in this process. Low-level convergence not only provided dynamic conditions for precipitation initiation but also integrated radar precipitation echoes with mesoscale convergence lines at the surface, influencing the morphology of cumulus precipitation echoes and forming mesoscale convective rainbands aligned along the guiding airflow. The mesoscale convective rainband moved along the guiding airflow, creating a “train effect” that resulted in heavy precipitation. These findings enhance operational forecasting capabilities for warm-sector precipitation associated with low vortices and similar processes, providing valuable insights for forecasters to develop systematic models of warm-sector precipitation weather systems.

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李博,韓鳳,萬夫敬.一次低渦暖區暴雨的大氣不穩定和鋒生特征分析[J].氣象科技,2025,53(4):572~584

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  • 收稿日期:2024-09-10
  • 定稿日期:2025-05-07
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-08-27
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