暴雨災害文物保護風險評估研究
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山西省自然災害綜合風險普查成果應用研究課題(SXJZCGYY202201-2)、山西省氣象局資助項目(SXKZDDW20217103)資助


Research on Risk Assessment of Rainstorm Disasters in Cultural Relics
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    摘要:

    本文在自然災害綜合風險普查數據的基礎上,細化并構建文物保護單位面對暴雨災害的脆弱性指標,綜合考慮暴雨災害危險性、孕災環境敏感性和文物脆弱性三個要素,建立了文物保護單位暴雨災害風險評估指標體系。暴雨災害危險性、孕災環境敏感性指標選取普查獲得的暴雨危險性等級,其包含暴雨危險性以及孕災環境敏感性;文物保護單位脆弱性包括重要性、暴露性和易損性三個方面,分別是保護級別、附屬文物、面積/規模、臺基/地宮、文物類型、材料類型、變形損傷和歷史災害等8個指標。依據指標體系對山西省晉城市全國重點文物保護單位暴雨災害風險進行了評估與驗證。研究成果可為文物保護單位的暴雨災害風險評估與保護提供一定的參考,同時提升了自然災害綜合風險普查成果的應用范圍。

    Abstract:

    On the basis of the natural disaster comprehensive risk census data, this paper refines and constructs the vulnerability index of cultural relics protection units facing rainstorm disasters and establishes the indicator system for rainstorm disaster risk assessment of cultural relics protection units by comprehensively considering the three elements of rainstorm disaster risk, disaster-conceiving environment sensitivity, and cultural relics vulnerability. The rainstorm disaster risk and environmental sensitivity indicators are selected from the rainstorm risk level obtained from the census, which includes the rainstorm risk and environmental sensitivity of the disaster-conceiving environment, in which the rainstorm disaster-causing factors include the rainstorm process precipitation, the maximum daily precipitation, the maximum hourly precipitation, and the duration of precipitation from 1978 to 2020. The environmental impact factors of the disaster-conceiving environment include the standard deviation of the elevation, elevation, and the density of the river network, etc. The vulnerability of the cultural relics protection units includes the importance, exposure, sensitivity, and susceptibility of cultural relics. The vulnerability of cultural relics protection units includes three aspects of importance, exposure, and susceptibility, which includes eight indicators: protection level, affiliated cultural relics, area/scale, pedestal/(underground palace), cultural relics type, material type, deformation damage, and historical disaster. The reference weights of the indicators at all levels are given after the experts’ argumentation on cultural relics, meteorology, and emergency response. Based on the indicator system, the storm disaster risk of national key cultural relics protection units in Jincheng, Shanxi Province, is assessed and verified, and in the assessment, the weight of storm danger accounts for 75%. The eight cultural relics protection units with high storm disaster risk levels are all located in areas with high storm danger, among which the Xiangyu Ancient Fortress, the ancient architectural complex of Guobi Village, and the city of Miakovi are all located along the Qin River. The Shuitong Cui Fujun Temple, the Yuhuang Temple, and the Qinglian Temple are located along the Dan River, while the Tashui River ruins and Zezhou Dai Temple are located on the banks of the Tashui River and the Yedi River, respectively. The cultural relics protection units with a higher risk level are located in areas with a higher risk of rainstorms and at the same time have relatively high vulnerability. The research results provide a certain reference for the storm disaster risk assessment and protection of cultural relics protection units and at the same time enhance the application scope of the results of the comprehensive natural disaster risk census.

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張華明,劉耀龍,王健,傅佳玉,劉月麗,郝靖,牟北遙,張亞琳.暴雨災害文物保護風險評估研究[J].氣象科技,2025,53(3):448~456

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-12
  • 定稿日期:2025-03-20
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-06-27
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