河北省夏季氣溫變化的城市化影響
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國家重點研發計劃(2018YFA0606300)、中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF201940)、廈門海峽氣象開放實驗室開放課題(2023KX02)、河北省氣象局科研開發項目(23ZC01)、河北省氣象局氣候可行性論證技術創新團隊共同資助


Urbanisation Effect on Change of Summer Temperature in Hebei Province
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    摘要:

    利用1961—2023年河北省72個國家地面氣象觀測站夏季逐日平均、最高和最低氣溫資料,對比分析了河北省不同時段及不同城市化水平地區平均、最高和最低氣溫及氣溫日較差的分布特征。結果表明:相較于前30年(1961—1990年),后30年(1994—2023年)河北省夏季平均、最高和最低氣溫的概率密度分布均向高溫方向偏移,其中最低氣溫的偏移尤其明顯;1961—2023年,利用站點對比得出的氣溫城市化貢獻率多超過30%,且后30年河北省夏季氣溫變化趨勢增幅及范圍均有所加大,較強溫升區域多集中在廊坊、唐山及河北中南部等城市化水平相對較高的地區,日較差減少趨勢在河北中南部有所減緩。不同程度的城市化發展對站點氣溫分布特征的影響有所差異,城市化水平較高和中等城市化水平地區選定城市站點增溫幅度較郊區站明顯偏大,且城市站氣溫,尤其是最低氣溫的概率分布向高溫的偏移較郊區站點更為明顯,使得日較差減??;城市化水平較低地區城市站與郊區站,最高氣溫的增幅及概率密度分布向高溫方向的偏移有所加大,使得日較差增大。

    Abstract:

    Based on the summer daily mean, maximum, and minimum temperature data from 72 national surface meteorological stations in Hebei Province from 1961 to 2023, a comparative analysis examines the distribution characteristics of summer mean temperature, summer mean maximum and minimum temperatures, as well as the diurnal temperature range, across the time periods and regions with different levels of urbanisation to explore the potential impact of urbanisation on summer temperature changes in Hebei Province. The results indicate that: compared to the previous 30 years (from 1961 to 1990), the probability density distribution of summer mean temperature, summer mean maximum and minimum temperatures in Hebei shifts towards the higher temperature side in the latter 30 years (from 1994 to 2023), which is particularly pronounced in the summer mean minimum temperature. From 1961 to 2023, the contribution rate of urbanisation to temperature mostly exceeds 30%, according to station comparisons in regions with different levels of urbanisation. Additionally, the trend of summer temperature changes in Hebei Province significantly intensifies in both the rate and the scope in the latter 30 years, while the areas with relatively strong temperature increases are primarily concentrated in Langfang, Tangshan, and central and southern Hebei, which are regions that are economically developed and highly urbanised. The decreasing trend of the diurnal temperature range is alleviated in the central and southern parts of Hebei Province. The levels of urbanisation affect the distribution characteristics of site temperatures, while in areas with higher and medium levels of urbanisation, the increase in temperature at selected urban station sites is significantly greater compared to suburban stations. Furthermore, the warming is mostly concentrated near cities, and the probability distribution of temperature elements at urban stations, especially the summer mean minimum temperature, shifts more evidently towards higher temperatures compared to suburban stations, with the steepness increasing, resulting in a shift of the diurnal temperature range towards lower temperatures. In areas with relatively lower levels of urbanisation, the increase and the shift of probability density distribution towards higher temperatures at urban stations compared to suburban stations become more pronounced in summer mean maximum temperature, resulting in an increase in the diurnal temperature range.

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井元元,劉咪咪,劉亞光,楊銘.河北省夏季氣溫變化的城市化影響[J].氣象科技,2025,53(3):427~437

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  • 收稿日期:2024-04-11
  • 定稿日期:2025-03-26
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-06-27
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