綦江流域一次致洪暴雨的夜間突發機制
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國家自然科學基金氣象聯合基金重點項目(U2242202)、重慶市技術創新與應用發展專項面上項目(CSTB2022TIAD-GPX0031)、四川省科技計劃項目(2023YFS0430)、重慶市自然科學基金面上項目(CSTB2022NSCQ-MSX0665)、重慶市氣象部門業務技術攻關項目(YWJSGG-202408)、中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2024J001)共同資助


Analysis of Nocturnal Enhancement Mechanism of a Flood-Triggering Rainstorm in Qijiang Basin
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    摘要:

    利用多源觀測資料和ERA5再分析資料,通過分析2020年6月19—22日引發綦江流域破紀錄洪水的暴雨過程,研究了此次西南渦暴雨的夜間增強機制,結果表明:①降水在夜間至清晨加強,具有顯著的日變化特征。過程分為3個階段,第3階段云頂亮溫更低、云團移動傳播更慢,致使降水和對流更強、持續時間更長。②暴雨發生在西太平洋副熱帶高壓北側的淺槽背景下,由深厚西南渦、穩定維持的低空急流和地面輻合線導致。對流初生時,輻合線附近為高溫高濕的強不穩定環境,地面偏北風經地形抬升后匯入盆地-高原次級環流的上升支,觸發對流。③四川盆地和云貴高原北部的低空非地轉風每日順時針偏轉,均在夜間轉為偏南風并加強,在高原上強于盆地。夜間低空風場在盆地為次地轉、高原為超地轉,形成暖式切變和風速輻合。非地轉風水汽通量晝負夜正,而地轉風水汽通量總體為正值,使實際風水汽通量在夜間顯著增大。以上日變化有利于水汽積聚和輻合抬升,造成夜雨增幅。④動量平衡方程的平流項和非地轉項在夜間轉為正值或正值增大,且在高原上強于盆地,使前者水平風在夜間增幅更大,形成風速梯度和輻合。非地轉效應對此次夜雨增強有重要作用。

    Abstract:

    Using multi-source observation data and ERA5 reanalysis data, a rainstorm that triggers a record-breaking flood in Qijiang Basin (QB) from June 19 to 22, 2020, is analysed. The nocturnal enhancement mechanism of precipitation brought by Southwest Vortex is hereafter studied. The results show that: (1) The rainstorm, exhibiting significant daily variation, intensified during the night and early morning. The whole process was divided into three stages. At the third stage, the MCSs showed lower Blackbody Brightness Temperature (TBB), moved and propagated more slowly, and resulted in stronger precipitation and convection with longer duration. (2) Under the background of a weak trough in the westerly to the north of the Western Pacific Subtropical High, the rainstorm was caused by a strong Southwest Vortex, a stable low-level jet, and a convergence line on the surface. At the stage of convection initiation, an unstable environment with high temperature and humidity was formed near the convergence line. Meanwhile, the northerly wind on the surface was forced to lift by terrain, then joined the updraft of basin-plateau secondary vertical circulation, and later triggered convection. (3) The low-level ageostrophic wind above Sichuan Basin (SB) and northern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau (YGP) rotated clockwise every day, both turned southerly and strengthened at night, and was stronger above YGP than above SB. The nocturnal low-level wind, being sub-geostrophic above SB and super-geostrophic above YGP, caused warm shear and flow convergence. Additionally, the water vapour flux transported by ageostrophic wind was negative during the day and positive at night, while the water vapour flux transported by geostrophic wind remained positive all day, resulting in a significant positive increase in the water vapour flux transported by actual wind at night. The above daily variations were conducive to water vapour accumulation and flow convergence, which eventually led to the intensification of precipitation. (4) The advection and ageostrophic terms in the momentum balance equation became positive or increased at night, and were greater above YGP than above SB. The horizontal wind on YGP therefore intensified, wind speed gradient and convergence were formed as a result. The ageostrophic effect played an important role in the nocturnal enhancement mechanism of precipitation.

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朱巖,翟丹華,鄧承之,張焱,李佳.綦江流域一次致洪暴雨的夜間突發機制[J].氣象科技,2025,53(3):391~404

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  • 收稿日期:2024-04-17
  • 定稿日期:2025-03-20
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-06-27
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