云南及周邊地區土壤水分時空演變及其與環境因子的相關性
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國家可持續發展創新議程示范區專項(202104AC100001-A14)、中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2021J069)和云南省氣象局基層臺站氣象科技創新與能力提升計劃項目(STIAP202349)共同資助


Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Soil Moisture in Yunnan and Surrounding Areas and Its Correlation with Environmental Factors
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    摘要:

    采用多種統計方法對云南及周邊地區土壤水分變化特征進行系統分析,探討土壤水分與環境變化的相關性。結果表明:①研究區1950—2000年土壤水分干濕交替,21世紀后土壤變干明顯。②研究區大部土壤水分變化較小,整體呈弱的變干趨勢,變濕區域約為20%,變干區占21.4%~26.2%,多以(0.4,0.45]區間轉為(0.35,0.4]區間為主。③土壤水分經(緯)向平均高值中心在時間—緯(經)度上隨深度增加時段延長,且向北(東)擴張;隨緯(經)度變高,土壤水分值變大,且季節差異隨深度和緯(經)度增加而減小。④土壤水分對蒸散發、降水、土壤溫度和歸一化植被指數(NDVI)的響應存在1~5個月的滯后性;除與NDVI存在負相關關系外,與其余3種氣候因子存在正相關關系;土壤水分受環境因子協同影響,其中降水量對土壤水分影響最強。

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    In order to enhance the understanding of the spatiotemporal evolution of soil moisture in the subtropical monsoon climate region, the study focuses on Yunnan and its surrounding areas (90°-107°E, 15°-30°N). Utilising ERA5-Land reanalysis soil moisture data and employing various statistical methods such as Theil-Sen Median trend analysis and Mann-Kendall (M-K) non-parametric test, this research analyses the spatiotemporal variations of soil moisture in the Indochina Peninsula and its response to hydrothermal changes, exploring the responses of different soil moisture levels to climate change. The results indicate: (1) During the study period (1950-2020), the study area experiences alternating dry and wet soil moisture conditions, with drier years concentrated in 1955-1961 and 2001-2020, and wetter years mainly distributed in 1951-1954, 1961-1968, and 1971-1978. After entering the 21st century, soil drying becomes more pronounced, with positive anomalies in soil moisture at different depths from January to December, and a stronger drying trend during the dry season for SM1 to SM3. (2) Between 1950 and 2020, there is a clear dry-wet axis in the study area’s soil moisture, with the difference between the dry and wet axes decreasing with depth, and a trend of narrowing dry axis bands and expanding wet axis bands. (3) In the first and last years of the study period, soil moisture remains stable in most regions of the study area, with only 21.4% to 26.2% of the area experiencing drying, primarily transitioning from the (0.4, 0.45] interval to the (0.35, 0.4] interval. (4) There is significant spatial heterogeneity in soil moisture changes at different levels, with an overall weak drying trend. Of the area, 37.7% to 61.5% experiences soil moisture changes ranging from -0.001 to 0 m3·m-3·10a-1, and areas with increasing soil moisture are less than 20%. (5) After entering the 21st century, soil moisture in most months of the dry season becomes drier compared to earlier periods, with abrupt changes occurring in 2003 and 2008. (6) The temporal-latitudinal mean high-value centre of soil moisture extends with the increase in soil depth, and the high-value centre of soil moisture expands northward (eastward); the overall variation in soil moisture increases with latitude (longitude), and the seasonal differences in soil moisture decrease with depth and latitude (longitude). (7) The impact of evapotranspiration, precipitation, soil temperature, and Normalised Vegetation Index (NDVI) on soil moisture has a lag of 1 to 5 months. Apart from the negative correlation with NDVI, soil moisture is significantly positively correlated with the other three climate factors. Soil moisture is synergistically influenced by environmental factors, among which precipitation has the strongest impact on soil moisture.

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趙平偉,王佳妮,張云秋,趙建平,尤文龍,李四蘭.云南及周邊地區土壤水分時空演變及其與環境因子的相關性[J].氣象科技,2025,53(2):259~270

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  • 收稿日期:2024-03-02
  • 定稿日期:2024-11-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-04-21
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