采用三源數據誤差估計方法評估多種衛星溫濕廓線產品
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國家自然科學基金氣象聯合基金(U2342220),中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2022P017)和重慶市氣象部門業務技術攻關項目(YYJSGG-202212)共同資助


Application of Three-Cornered Hat Method to Evaluate Errors of Temperature and Humidity Profiles Derived from Various Satellites
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    全球大氣溫濕度廓線是研究極端天氣和氣候變化的重要數據集。本文利用三源資料誤差評估方法評估了2021年風云三號極軌衛星(FY-3D)和美國極軌衛星(Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership,NPP)以及掩星探測系統(Constellation Observing System for Meteorology,Ionosphere and Climate-2,COSMIC2)的溫濕度廓線產品的誤差。結果表明:①三類溫度廓線均方根誤差垂直分布相似,在對流層中低層(700~300 hPa)一致性較好,且小于2 K;對比三類濕度廓線,FY-3D濕度廓線的均方根誤差最大,NPP的均方根誤差最小。②晴空條件下FY-3D溫濕度廓線均方根誤差較全天空條件減小最顯著;NPP溫濕度廓線誤差有微弱減?。皇苎竺娉凵洮F象的影響,COSMIC2溫濕度廓線低層反演精度有所降低。③與單一資料評估法相比,三源數據誤差估計方法考慮了基準數據自身的誤差后,計算的COSMIC2溫濕度廓線誤差在對流層低層分別增加了0.4 K和0.3 g·kg-1

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    The global atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles are key datasets for studying extreme weather and climate change. However, the atmospheric profiles derived from satellite measurements include multiple error sources, such as instrument error, errors of retrieval algorithms, and quality control. Therefore, evaluating the errors of atmospheric profiles accurately is beneficial to understanding the features of derived atmospheric profiles and applying them in operations and research. The Three-cornered Hat (3CH) method, using the error model of Xi=truth+b+ei, estimates the errors of various datasets by solving linear equations. Unlike the single data evaluation method, the 3CH method uses uncorrelated datasets and does not assume that any reference dataset is error-free. In this study, the errors of atmospheric temperature and humidity profiles derived from the Fengyun-3D polar-orbiting satellite (FY-3D), the Suomi National Polar-Orbiting Partnership (NPP), and the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate 2 (COSMIC2) in 2021 are evaluated by the 3CH method. The differences between the 3CH method and the single data evaluation method, using ECMWF Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) as the reference dataset, are also discussed. The results show that: (1) The errors of three temperature and humidity profiles present similar vertical distributions. Especially around 700-300 hPa, the errors of all temperature profiles are less than 2 K, illustrating all temperature profiles are consistent and accurate in the middle and lower troposphere. In comparison of three humidity profiles, the FY-3D and NPP profiles present the largest and smallest errors, respectively. (2) Compared with all-sky situations, the errors of temperature and humidity profiles derived from FY-3D decline obviously in clear-sky situations. The differences in NPP profile errors between all-sky and clear-sky are very small, illustrating the effects of clouds on NPP profiles are minute. The COSMIC2 profile errors become a little larger at lower layers, because the occultation observation is affected by the super-refraction phenomenon over the ocean. (3) The errors estimated by the 3CH method are different from the results estimated by the ERA5 dataset, because the error of the ERA5 dataset and the correlations between three atmospheric profiles and the ERA5 dataset are included in the 3CH method. For the COSMIC2, the errors of temperature and humidity profiles estimated by the 3CH method increase by about 0.4 K and 0.3 g kg-1 in the lower troposphere, respectively. In contrast, the errors of FY-3D and NPP profiles estimated by the 3CH method become smaller, which are more accurate than the results estimated by the ERA5 dataset.

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張悅,高郁東,任素玲.采用三源數據誤差估計方法評估多種衛星溫濕廓線產品[J].氣象科技,2025,53(2):167~176

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  • 收稿日期:2024-05-14
  • 定稿日期:2024-11-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2025-04-21
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