副熱帶高壓內部臺風遠距離暴雨特征和機制個例分析
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上海臺風研究基金項目(TFJJ202313)、江蘇省氣象局面上項目(KM202414)、江蘇省氣象局青年基金項目(KQ202321) 、江蘇海洋氣象開放研究基金(HYQX202204)資助


A Case Study on Characteristics and Mechanism of Long-Distance Rainstorm Caused by Typhoon inside Subtropical High
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    摘要:

    為了提高對副高內部臺風遠距離暴雨特征和機制的認識,綜合利用多源觀測和ERA5再分析資料,對2018年臺風“山竹”在副高內部引發的一次遠距離暴雨過程進行分析。結果表明:①這次暴雨發生在500 hPa副高內部高溫、高濕、高能的強對流不穩定環境中,暴雨區位于低層臺風倒槽北端、偏南氣流風速輻合區和高空急流入口區右側。②低層暖濕平流提供了充足的水汽和能量,促使對流不穩定層結發展和維持;高層強輻散耦合低層輻合形成強烈上升運動,為暴雨提供有利動力條件。③中尺度對流系統有3個演變階段:帶狀對流組織和建立、對流帶北移南側超級單體發展和移動、北部對流減弱南部對流帶新建發展,造成了兩個階段的極端短時強降水(100 mm/h以上)。④低層華北高壓先后與臺風倒槽、海上高壓結合,增強了低層輻合并維持了切變線(地面輻合線),利于對流的發展和維持。臺風倒槽是初始對流帶的觸發和組織者,雷暴冷池出流是超級單體發展移動的關鍵因素。⑤高空急流的輻散抽吸強迫中層輻合,正渦度和低槽發展,暴雨區垂直風切變增強,利于南部對流帶發展。當低緯度有臺風活動時,500 hPa副高內部低層有臺風倒槽,臺風倒槽北端的輻合區是遠距離暴雨預報的著眼點。

    Abstract:

    In order to improve the understanding of the characteristics and mechanisms of typhoon remote rainstorms within the subtropical high, a remote rainstorm process triggered by Typhoon Mangosteen in 2018 is analysed using multi-source observation and ERA5 reanalysis data. The results show that: (1) The rainstorm occurred within a strong convective and unstable environment characterised by high temperature, high humidity, and high energy within the 500 hPa subtropical high. The rainstorm area was located at the north end of the typhoon trough at the lower level, within the southerly wind speed convergence area, and to the right side of the upper jet stream inlet area. (2) The lower-level warm and humid advection provided sufficient water vapour and energy, promoting the development and maintenance of convective unstable stratification. Strong upper-level divergence coupled with lower-level convergence induced a strong upward motion, which provided favourable dynamic conditions for the rainstorm. (3) The mesoscale convective system exhibited three evolution stages: the organisation and establishment of banded convection, the development and movement of supercells in the south, the weakening of convection in the north, and the development of new convection in the south, resulting in extreme short-term heavy precipitation (exceeding 100 mm/h) during two stages. (4) The low-level North China high combined with the typhoon trough and the offshore high successively enhanced the low-level convergence and maintained the shear line (surface convergence line), which was conducive to the development and maintenance of convection. The typhoon trough acted as the trigger and organiser of the initial convective zone, and the outflow of the thunderstorm cold pool played a pivotal role in the development and movement of supercells. (5) The divergence and suction force of the upper jet stream in the mid-level convergence, the development of positive vorticity and low trough, and the enhancement of vertical wind shear in the rainstorm area were conducive to the development of the southern convective zone. During typhoon activity at the low latitudes, there was a typhoon trough at the lower level of the 500 hPa subtropical high, and the convergence area at the northern end of the typhoon trough was the focus of long-range rainstorm forecasts.

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張樹民,吳海英,黃綺君,梅一清,王坤,顧沛澍,張琪.副熱帶高壓內部臺風遠距離暴雨特征和機制個例分析[J].氣象科技,2024,52(4):535~548

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  • 收稿日期:2023-07-31
  • 定稿日期:2024-03-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2024-08-28
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