GUM評定數字式氣壓計不確定度的適用性驗證
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國家自然科學基金(42065011)、江西省自然科學基金(20232BAB203074)資助


Evaluation of Measurement Uncertainty for Digital Barometer Based on Monte Carlo Method
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    摘要:

    為確保數字式氣壓計測量不確定度的可靠性,需對現有的測量不確定度表示指南(GUM)評定數字式氣壓計不確定度的方法進行適用性驗證。本文根據國際標準ISO/IEC Guide 98-3:2008 附件1給出的蒙特卡洛法(Monte Corlo Method,簡稱MCM)驗證方案,以PTB220型數字式氣壓計為研究對象,分別采用自適應MCM對GUM方法進行不確定度的評定;將評定結果對比求偏差;根據偏差值是否超限來判定GUM方法適用性。結果表明:所采用的自適應MCM通過迭代增加試驗次數,實時判斷試驗統計意義上的穩定,能有效確保評定結果的可靠性,且僅通過2×104樣本量,計算出對應的評定結果。通過將GUM評定結果與其對比求偏差,分析得出GUM在進行數字式氣壓計的不確定度評定時偏離程度超過規定范圍,說明GUM未能通過驗證,即GUM可能不宜適用于該儀器不確定度的評定。

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    The International Joint Committee for Guides in Metrology (JCGM) puts forward “Evaluation of measurement data-propagation of distributions using the Monte Carlo method” (MCM) in ISO/IEC Guide 98-3:2008 supplement 1. MCM is a method based on the law of propagation of distribution (LPD). Therefore, compared with the GUM (Guide to the Expression Uncertainty in Measurement) evaluation method, MCM has higher accuracy and reliability when applied to the evaluation of measurement uncertainty. There are two schemes of MCM: one is single batch MCM and the other is adaptive MCM. Since adaptive MCM can effectively save computer resources and is more efficient in evaluation, it is widely used in the evaluation of measurement uncertainty in various fields. To ensure the accuracy of the detection data of the digital barometer, it needs to be calibrated periodically, and to characterise the reliability of the calibration results, and needs to be analysed and evaluated in terms of the measurement uncertainty (referred to as “uncertainty”) of the calibration results. To effectively improve the accuracy of the calibration results of the digital barometer and provide technical support for the credibility and reliability of meteorological observation data, taking the calibration results of PTB220 digital barometer as the research object, the adaptive MCM method is used to evaluate the uncertainty of the measurement results of the digital barometer. The adaptive MCM method is used to compare and verify the GUM method in accordance with the validation scheme given in the ISO/IEC Guide 98-3: 2008 supplement 1. The results show that the deviation of GUM in the uncertainty of the digital barometer exceeds the specified range, i.e., the absolute deviation of the left and right endpoints of the 95% inclusion interval between GUM and MCM uncertainty exceeds the numerical tolerance of 0.005 hPa, which is determined by the effective number of digits of the standard uncertainty, so the GUM method fails to pass the validation. Through the above results, it is indicated that the GUM method may be unsuitable for the verification of the uncertainty of this instrument. The above results indicate that the GUM method may not be suitable for the evaluation of the uncertainty of this instrument.

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魏明明,孟俊,周桃成,鄭德彬. GUM評定數字式氣壓計不確定度的適用性驗證[J].氣象科技,2024,52(4):488~496

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  • 收稿日期:2023-03-24
  • 定稿日期:2024-04-10
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  • 在線發布日期: 2024-08-28
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