貴州省不同強度區域性凝凍過程環流形勢對比分析
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國家自然基金項目(41865005)、中國氣象局復盤總結專項(FPZJ2024119)、中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2023P017)、云貴準靜止鋒研究攻關團隊(QHLSSLJ[2022]11)項目共同資助


Comparative Analysis of Regional Freezing Rain Events with Different Intensities in Guizhou Province
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    摘要:

    利用貴州省84個氣象站逐日觀測資料以及再分析資料,對4種不同強度區域性凝凍過程進行對比分析。結果表明:500 hPa位勢高度場上中高緯度的亞洲東部區域距平場呈現“+-”的分布或有切斷低壓分布,貝加爾湖至中國華北地區以經向環流為主;850 hPa風場上云南南部以南受偏南風和西南風控制,并且在江南至華南存在西南或西風急流,是4種不同強度凝凍過程中形勢場共性特征。500 hPa高度場上中高緯度地區呈兩槽一脊或一槽一脊分布;風場上850 hPa東北風回流和700 hPa西南急流形成上暖下冷的形勢場,同時850 hPa形成穩定低層切變線;溫度場上存在冷-暖-冷的夾心結構,近地面層0 ℃線維持在900 hPa以下,均是較強等級以上的區域性凝凍過程中形勢場共性特征。而對于一般性區域性凝凍過程,500 hPa位勢高度場上呈多槽脊分布,風場上是否存在東北風回流和低層切變線,溫度場上是否存在冷-暖-冷的夾心結構以及近地面層0 ℃線位置等特征均不統一。溫度剖面圖上,當近地面層0 ℃線位置最低時或出現冷-暖-冷的夾心結構時段與凝凍過程影響范圍最廣、災情最重的時間段對應。

    Abstract:

    Using the percentile method, the regional freezing process intensity is divided into four levels: extremely strong, strong, general strong, and general. Based on the daily observation data from 84 stations in Guizhou Province and reanalysis data, the cooling amplitude, number of affected stations, duration, altitude field, wind field, and temperature field are being analysed in a comparative way on 12 regional freezing Processes which are selected from four different intensities. The conclusions are as follows. The common features of the four freezing events with different intensities are: in the height field at 500 hPa, a distribution of “positivenegative” anomalies or a cutoff low is being exhibited over the East Asia region in the middle and high latitudes, with meridional circulation dominating from Lake Baikal to northern China; in the wind field at 850 hPa, the southern part of Yunnan Province is being controlled by southerly and southwestern winds, and there is a southwestern or westerly jet stream from Jiangnan to southern China. For the regional freezing rain events with strong intensity, a “two trough and one ridge” or “one trough and one ridge” distribution in the height field at 500 hPa is shown over the middle and high latitude regions. In the wind field at 850 hPa, there is a pattern of warm air advection aloft and cold air advection near the surface, with northeasterly winds return at 850 hPa and a southwestern jet stream at 700 hPa, while a stable lowlevel shear line is formed at 850 hPa. In the temperature field, a sandwich structure of coldwarmcold is observed, with the 0 ℃ isotherm below 900 hPa in the nearsurface layer. However, for the regional freezing rain events with moderate intensity, multiple troughs and ridges are distributed at 500 hPa. There are no common features for the northeasterly winds advection and lowlevel shear line in the wind field, as well as the coldwarmcold sandwich structure and the position of the nearsurface 0 ℃ isotherm in the temperature field. On the temperature profile, the period with the lowest position of the nearsurface 0 ℃ isotherm or the occurrence of the coldwarmcold sandwich structure corresponds to the time when the freezing rain events have the extensive impact and result in the most severe disaster. In the prediction of the freezing process, predict experiments can be conducted based on the position of the 0 ℃ line near the ground level and the strength of the temperature inversion layer.

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李忠燕,任曼琳,譚婭姮,嚴小冬,張東海.貴州省不同強度區域性凝凍過程環流形勢對比分析[J].氣象科技,2024,52(2):228~242

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  • 收稿日期:2023-01-06
  • 定稿日期:2023-11-14
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  • 在線發布日期: 2024-04-29
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