海南島4—9月短時強降水的天氣型和環境參數特征
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海南省自然科學基金項目(423QN318, 420QN372)、中國氣象局復盤總結專項(FPZJ2023-101)資助


Characteristics of Weather Patterns and Environmental Parameters of Short-Term Heavy Rainfall from April to September over Hainan Island
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    摘要:

    利用海南島加密自動站逐小時降水資料、ERA5再分析資料,對海南島短時強降水日環流配置進行了天氣學分型,并進一步探討了各天氣型下海南島短時強降水的時空分布、環流形勢和關鍵環境參數特征。結果表明:①海南島短時強降水有明顯的日變化特征,呈單峰型,主要出現在15:00—19:00。②海南島短時強降水的天氣型主要有南海低壓槽、華南沿海槽、西南低壓槽和冷鋒型。③南海低壓槽、華南沿海槽、西南低壓槽和冷鋒型短時強降水分別占37%,31%,16%和16%。南海低壓槽和華南沿海槽型主要出現在7、8和9月;西南低壓槽型除9月外,其余各月份均可能出現;冷鋒型絕大多數出現在4、5月。④南海低壓槽和華南沿海槽型整層濕度條件都較好,不穩定能量較大,垂直風切變較弱。西南低壓槽型不穩定能量較大,濕度條件一般,垂直風切變較弱。冷鋒型存在明顯的上干下濕特征,垂直風切變最大,0~6 km風速差75%分位大于10 m/s,不穩定能量最小。

    Abstract:

    The hourly precipitation data from the densified automatic stations over Hainan Island from April to September between 2017 and 2021 and the fifth generation global reanalysis data of the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) with an interval of 1 h and a spatial resolution of 0.25°×0.25° are used to classify the circulation configuration of short-term heavy rainfall over Hainan Island. Furthermore, the synoptic diagnostic analysis method is used to synthetically analyse the environmental fields and physical fields of the short-term heavy rainfall processes, and the characteristics of the temporal and spatial distribution, circulation situation, and key environmental parameters of the short-term heavy rainfall over Hainan Island under various weather patterns are analysed. The results show that: (1) The short-term heavy rainfall over Hainan Island has an obvious diurnal variation characteristic, showing a single peak type, mainly occurring from 15:00 to 19:00. (2) The circulation patterns of short-term heavy rainfall over Hainan Island mainly include the South China Sea Trough, the South China Coast Trough, Southwest Trough, and cold front pattern. (3) The South China Sea Trough, South China Coast Trough, Southwest Trough, and cold front pattern account for 37%, 31%, 16%, and 16%, respectively. The cold front pattern mainly appears in April and May. The South China Sea Trough and South China Coast Trough mainly appear in July, August, and September, and the Southwest Trough may appear in other months except September. (4) The spatial distribution of short-term heavy precipitation varies significantly under different weather patterns. The South China Sea Trough type high-frequency stations are mainly concentrated in the northeast inland of Hainan Island, while the South China Coast Trough type high-frequency stations are mainly concentrated in the northern inland and western parts of Hainan Island. The Southwest Trough is mainly concentrated in the area north of Wuzhishan; the cold front pattern mostly occurs in the northern region of Hainan Island. (5) The humidity conditions of the South China Sea Trough and the South China Coast Trough patterns are good, with a high amount of unstable energy and weak vertical wind shear. The unstable energy for the Southwest Trough is high, with the humidity condition being average and the vertical wind shear weak. The cold front pattern has an obvious characteristic of being drier above and wetter below, and the wind speed difference (0~6 km) is the largest, with 75% quantile greater than 10 m/s. However, the unstable energy of the cold front pattern is the lowest.

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石娟,鄭艷,柯元惠,蔣賢玲.海南島4—9月短時強降水的天氣型和環境參數特征[J].氣象科技,2024,52(1):55~65

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  • 收稿日期:2022-11-16
  • 定稿日期:2023-11-09
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  • 在線發布日期: 2024-02-29
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