北雁蕩山地形對2020年“黑格比”臺風暴雨影響的數值模擬
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浙江省氣象局預報員專項項目(2020YBY08)、溫州市氣象局預報員專項項目(2021YBY01)、上海臺風研究基金項目(TFJJ202212)資助


Numerical Simulation of North Yandang Mountain Topography Influence on Typhoon Hagupit Rainstorm in 2020
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    摘要:

    2020年第4號臺風“黑格比”在浙南登陸后過境北雁蕩山期間在山區引發了特大暴雨?;谥谐叨葦抵的J絎RFV4.0.2對臺風進行高分辨率數值模擬,分析北雁蕩山地形對此次臺風暴雨的作用,并設置了升降地形敏感性試驗。結果表明:數值試驗較好地模擬了臺風移動及特大暴雨的落區和強度,臺風大風區明顯不對稱分布,臺風登陸后第一、四象限過境山區,其東側強偏南氣流向山區輸送了充足水汽。臺風登陸前山區低空存在一條由臺風內核拖曳出的狹長螺旋輻合帶,水汽通量輻合與風場輻合相一致。臺風眼墻過境時沿著降水中心的迎風坡有強烈上升運動,動力條件極好,水汽輸送帶由近地面向對流層低層延展,山區有零星對流單體觸發加強。臺風后部環流影響時在高海拔山區風速減弱、繞流激發了中尺度低渦,強降水中心迎風坡上出現持續性、停滯不動的強正渦度中心,是特大暴雨發生的主要原因。地形敏感性試驗中無地形時降水減幅40%~50%,地形高度翻倍降水增幅超過60%。

    Abstract:

    Typhoon Hagupit (No.04,2020) caused torrential rainfall in the mountain region as it passed over North Yandang Mountain after making landfall in the south coastal areas of Zhejiang Province. Based on the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) version 4.0.2 mesoscale numerical model, a high-resolution numerical simulation is conducted on typhoon Hagupit to analyse the effect of North Yandang Mountain on the occurrence of this heavy rainstorm caused by the typhoon. Sensitivity experiments, which involve adjusting the terrain height by lifting or reducing it, are carried out to investigate the role of terrain. The results are as follows: The track and intensity of the typhoon were well simulated by the numerical experiment over time. The simulated torrential rain triggered by the typhoon was consistent with the observation, including the rainfall area and intensity. The distribution of the strong wind centre caused by typhoon Hagupit was noticeably asymmetric. The first and fourth quadrants of typhoon Hagupit successively passed over the mountain region after the typhoon made landfall, which transported sufficient water vapour to the mountain region through a strong southerly jet on the east side of the typhoon. A long and narrow spiralling convergence band was observed at low altitudes above the mountain region, which was brought from the inner core of typhoon Hagupit before the landfall. The location and distribution of the water vapour flux convergence band were consistent with the wind convergence band. Strong upward motion occurred on the windward slope along the heavy rain centres when the eyewall of the typhoon passed over, indicating favourable dynamic conditions for the formation of torrential rain. The water vapour transport band extended upward from the near surface into the lower atmosphere, and scattered convective cells started to be triggered and enhance in the mountain region simultaneously. As the back of typhoon Hagupit passed over, the winds weakened in the high altitude area of the mountain region, resulting in flow around and the formation of mesoscale vortices, which contributed to the heavy rainstorm. The primary reason for the appearance of torrential rainfall was the presence of a strong, persistent, and fixed positive vorticity centre on the windward slope of the heavy rain centre. In sensitive experiments involving the terrain height, it was observed that the accumulated precipitation decreased by 40% to 50% when the terrain height in North Yandang Mountain was set to zero, while it increased by over 60% when the terrain height was doubled in the mountain region.

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童穎睿,鄭遠東,鄭峰.北雁蕩山地形對2020年“黑格比”臺風暴雨影響的數值模擬[J].氣象科技,2023,51(5):681~692

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  • 收稿日期:2022-08-29
  • 定稿日期:2023-06-26
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-11-01
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