鄭州“7·20”極端降水地形影響數值試驗
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國家自然科學基金項目(42175167),災害天氣國家重點實驗室課題(2021LASW-A11),河南省重大科技專項(201400210800)資助


Numerical Simulation on Impact of Topography on Extreme Heavy Precipitation in Zhengzhou on 20 July 2021
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    摘要:

    針對2021年7月20日發生于河南省鄭州市的極端暴雨事件,利用數值模式對此次暴雨過程中的地形影響問題進行了數值試驗分析。結果發現, CMA-MESO(GRAPES-MESO 3 km)模式能夠較好地模擬此次極端降水過程。地形對降水具有顯著影響,地形高度降低時,降水中心強度減弱,位置偏北;地形高度增加時,降水中心強度增加,位置偏南。其主要影響機制為:①太行山與鄭州市西側山體抬升作用使鄭州市西部出現較強的上升運動中心;太行山南端阻擋作用使東南暖濕氣流北支一部分氣流向西偏轉,與越過伏牛山的偏南氣流及東南氣流南支匯合,使鄭州市上空維持大尺度水汽輻合,進而產生極端暴雨。②當地形高度增加時,東南氣流北支的部分氣流遇太行山阻擋轉為偏東北氣流,氣流輻合區強度增強,鄭州市上空水汽含量明顯增加;而東南氣流南支受伏牛山阻擋抬升作用影響在鄭州市西南側也產生了強上升氣流,在鄭州市西北側與西南側形成兩個強降水中心。

    Abstract:

    The simulation of the extremely severe rainfall that occurred in Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, on 20 July 2021, is carried out to figure out the effects of topographic height and relief on water vapour transport and vertical conditions using the numerical model. The result shows that the CMA-MESO (GRAPES-MESO 3km) model’s simulation was satisfied with the actual situation for this process. However, the simulated precipitation centre was slightly to the west. The terrain had a significant impact on precipitation. The precipitation centre weakened when the terrain height decreased, and its position leaned toward the north. The precipitation centre strengthened when the terrain height increased, and its position leaned toward the south. The main influence mechanisms are as follows: (1) The upward effect of the Taihang Mountain and the mountain on the west side of Zhengzhou City resulted in a strong vertical ascending movement in the west of Zhengzhou City, and there was a deep convective system. The blocking effect of Funiu Mountain terrain had a significant effect on the north-south position of the vertical movement centre. Under the influence of the two typhoons, the warm and wet air coming from the southeast was formed, and the blocking effect of the southern part of Taihang Mountain caused part of the air in the north branch to deflect to the west and produced a southward component. That conjoined with the southerly airflow over Funiu Mountain and the southern branch of the southeast airflow, transported water vapour to the northwest under the blocking mountains such as Taihang Mountain and Songshan Mountain so that large-scale water vapour convergence was maintained over Zhengzhou City, and extremely heavy rain was generated. (2) With the increase of local height, part of the airflow from the north branch of the southeast airflow was blocked and turned into the northeast airflow, the intensity of the convergence zone of the airflow increased, the vertical velocity centre shifted to the south, and the water vapour content over Zhengzhou increased obviously. The southern branch of the southeast airflow also produced a strong updraft in the southwest of Zhengzhou under the effect of Funiu Mountain and formed two heavy precipitation centres near Zhengzhou, corresponding to Funiu Mountain and Songshan Mountain in the southwest and Taihang Mountain in the northwest, respectively. Under the uniform terrain condition, without the lifting and blocking effect of Taihang Mountain and Songshan Mountain, the water vapour accumulation over Zhengzhou decreased, the vertical movement centre moved northward, and the simulated precipitation centre was weaker than the real terrain condition, and the location was northward.

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程佳佳,徐國強.鄭州“7·20”極端降水地形影響數值試驗[J].氣象科技,2023,51(5):668~680

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-12
  • 定稿日期:2023-05-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-11-01
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