一次梅雨鋒特大暴雨中尺度氣旋和MCS的分析
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中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2021Z033,CXFZ2022J010)、安徽省重點研發計劃(202004b11020012)、華東氣象協同創新基金(QYHZ202103)資助


Analysis of Mesoscale Cyclone and MCS about an Extraordinary Rain on Meiyu Front
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    摘要:

    利用自動氣象站、多普勒雷達、FY4A、ECMWF模式、NCEP再分析資料,對2020年7月17—19日特大暴雨過程進行分析。結果表明:特大暴雨出現在安徽大別山附近和廬江兩地,是中尺度氣旋擾動環境下準靜止的中尺度對流系統(MCS)以及MCS中準靜止的渦旋狀單體所產生。特大暴雨在高能量、強不穩定背景下,由中部和東部的中尺度氣旋傳播所致。中尺度氣旋傳播過程中單體不斷新生、合并增強且移動緩慢,配合急流、輻合、干侵入、垂直環流等因素對組織化的MCS發展演變起到相當作用。低層切變線南側到華南的西南急流,將水汽輸送到安徽并在此有強烈輻合;高空、低空和超低空都存在急流,高低空急流耦合加劇MCS的強烈發展;地面輻合線是前期MCS的觸發機制,伴隨干冷空氣的入侵,加大了大氣的斜壓性和MCS的對流不穩定;梅雨鋒南北兩側都有垂直環流圈,即對流與高空急流之間通過對流加熱在高空急流入口處產生熱成風調整,維持梅雨鋒的發展演變,強的上升下沉運動促進MCS的加強和降水的連續發生;大別山地形抬升和上游狹管效應是兩地特大暴雨誘因。

    Abstract:

    Based on the automatic weather station, Doppler radar, FY4A, ECMWF model and NCEP reanalysis data, the extraordinary rain process from July 17 to 19, 2020, is analyzed. The results are as followings. The extraordinary rain occurred near Dabie Mountain and Lujiang County in Anhui Province, caused by the quasistationary mesoscale convective system (MCS) and the quasistationary vortex cell in MCS. The mesoscale cyclonic disturbance was composed of the shear line and cyclone. Under the background of high energy and strong instability, the extraordinary rain was caused by the mesoscale cyclone in the middle and east. In mesoscale cyclone propagation, the cell continuously produced, merged and strengthened, and moved slowly. The factors such as jet stream, convergence, dry intrusion and vertical circulation played an important role in the development and evolution of organized MCS. The southwest jet from the southern side of the lowlevel shear line to South China transported water vapour to the Yangtze and Huaihe River Basin, where there was strong convergence. There were jets at the high, low, and ultra-low levels, and the coupling of high and lowlevel jets intensified the strong development of MCS. The surface convergence line was the trigger mechanism of MCS in the early stage. With the invasion of dry and cold air, the baroclinity of the atmosphere and the convective instability of MCS were increased. The surface convergence line was the trigger mechanism of MCS in the early stage. With the invasion of dry and cold air, the baroclinity of the atmosphere and the convective instability of MCS were increased. There were vertical circulation circles on both sides of the Meiyu front, that was, the convective heating between the convection and the upper jet generated thermal wind adjustment at the entrance of the upper jet stream to maintain the development and evolution of the Meiyu front, and the strong ascending and descending motion promoted the strengthening and falling of MCS and continuous occurrence of rain. The terrain uplift of Dabie Mountain and the narrow pipe effect in the upper reaches induced extraordinary rain in the two places.

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周后福,陳健,姚筠,單乃超,吳語燕,黃勇,盧燕宇,吳文玉,侯燦.一次梅雨鋒特大暴雨中尺度氣旋和MCS的分析[J].氣象科技,2023,51(4):551~561

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  • 收稿日期:2022-05-19
  • 定稿日期:2023-02-20
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-08-29
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