大別山區茶葉氣候生產潛力評估
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科技部國家重點研發計劃“科技助力經濟2020”重點專項氣象行業項目(KJZLJJ202002)


Assessment of Climatic Potential Productivity of Tea in Dabie Mountains
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    摘要:

    基于大別山區35個氣象觀測站1971—2020年逐日氣象資料、DEM數據,采用氣候統計分析、逐步訂正法和趨勢面插值等方法,對茶葉光合生產潛力(YQ)、光溫生產潛力(YT)和氣候生產潛力(YW)時空變化特征、氣候資源貢獻率及其對氣候變化的響應進行了分析。結果表明:大別山區茶葉YQYW呈下降趨勢,降幅分別為0.58和0.05 t·hm-2·(10a)-1YT呈增加趨勢,增幅為0.36 t·hm-2·(10a)-1;空間分布上,YQ隨緯度的增加而增加,YT隨緯度和海拔的增加而減少,YW隨緯度的增加而減少、隨海拔的增加而增加;太陽輻射、溫度和降水對YW的貢獻率分別為26%、48%、26%,溫度的促進作用與太陽輻射和降水的抑制作用相互抵消,致使YW總體呈動態平衡趨勢;氣候變化背景下,大別山區北部地區較南部地區YQ下降趨勢更加明顯,南部地區較北部地區YT增加趨勢更加明顯,YW在低海拔地區呈增加趨勢而在高海拔地區呈下降趨勢。研究結果可為大別山區茶葉產業充分利用氣候資源、高效趨利避害、合理優化產業布局提供科學依據。

    Abstract:

    Based on the daily meteorological data of 35 meteorological observation stations during 1971-2020 in Dabie Mountains and DEM data, methods such as climatic statistical analysis, successive correction and trend surface interpolation are used, and the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the photosynthesis (YQ), photothermal (YT) and climatic potential productivity (YW) of tea, the contribution rate of climatic resources and their response to climate change are analyzed. The results show that YQ and YW of tea in Dabie Mountains show a decreasing trend, the rate of decline is 0.58 and 0.05 t·hm-2 per 10 years, YT show an increasing trend, the rate of increase is 0.36 t·hm-2 per 10 years. In spatial distribution, YQ increases with latitude, YT decreases with latitude and altitude, and YW decreases with latitude and increases with altitude. The contribution rates of solar radiation, temperature and precipitation to YW are 26%, 48% and 26%, respectively. The increase in temperature is offset by the decrease in solar radiation and precipitation, resulting in a general dynamic equilibrium trend. Under the background of climate change, the decreasing trend of YQ in the northern part of the Dabie Mountains is more obvious than that in the southern part. The increasing trend of YT in the southern part is more obvious than that in the northern part. The YW in the low-altitude area is increasing, and that in the high-altitude area is decreasing. The results of this study can provide the scientific basis for the tea industry in Dabie Mountains to make full use of climate resources, pursue advantages and avoid disadvantages efficiently, and optimize industrial layout rationally.

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曹強,伍瓊,陳曦,岳偉.大別山區茶葉氣候生產潛力評估[J].氣象科技,2023,51(2):295~301

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  • 收稿日期:2022-05-05
  • 定稿日期:2023-02-02
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-04-27
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