川藏地區及川藏鐵路沿線風場特征分析
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第二次青藏高原綜合科學考察研究項目(2019QZKK0105),國家重點研發項目(2018YFC1506603XX)資助


Analysis of Wind Field in Sichuan-Tibet Area and along Sichuan-Tibet Railway
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    摘要:

    雷暴大風是影響鐵路建設和交通運營安全的主要氣象災害之一,而川藏鐵路作為連接四川省和西藏自治區的干線鐵路,其沿線地理形勢復雜,氣候特征多樣,被稱為“最難建的鐵路”,本文旨在定量分析川藏地區和川藏鐵路的風場變化特征,以為川藏鐵路建設和鐵路列車運行、防災減災以及實時動態監測預警和風險評估提供科學依據。文章采用2004—2020年地面氣象站觀測風場和2006—2020年極大風風速資料,結合2000—2020年近21年的NCEP FNL地面風場數據,對川藏地區和川藏鐵路沿線拉薩、林芝、雅安、成都4個高鐵站附近的風場時空分布特征和變化規律進行分析,研究表明:①川藏地區西部風力高于東部,高原內陸風力大于高原東南緣和四川省。11月至次年3月是高原內陸風速最大的月份,月平均風速在高原北部和南緣能夠達到7 m/s以上,夏秋季風速較小。②選取川藏鐵路沿線拉薩站、林芝站、雅安站和成都站4個站點風場進行分析,風速表現為高原西部向東部減小的趨勢。③在研究時段內,2018—2020年川藏鐵路沿線平均風速和極大風速均呈明顯增加趨勢,拉薩和林芝站的大風日數也有所增加,因此2018年以來川藏鐵路沿線處于風速上升期,對鐵路的風險處于增大階段。

    Abstract:

    Thunderstorm gale is one of the main meteorological disasters affecting railway construction and transport safety. As a trunk railway connecting Sichuan Province and Tibet Region, the Sichuan-Tibet railway is known as the “most difficult railway” because of its complex geographical situation and diverse climate characteristics. This paper aims to quantitatively analyze the wind field characteristics in the Sichuan-Tibet region, provide the scientific basis for the construction of the Sichuan-Tibet railway, and the monitoring, reducing, early warning and risk assessment of disasters along the railway. The spatial distribution characteristics and temporal variation of the wind speed in the Sichuan-Tibet region and along Sichuan-Tibet railway stations are analyzed using the NCEP FNL surface wind data from 2000 to 2020, ground meteorological stations’ wind speed data from 2014 to 2020 and extremely wind speed data from 2006 to 2020. The results show that: (1) The wind force in the west of the Sichuan-Tibet region is higher than that in the east, and the wind speeds in the inland of the plateau are higher than those in the southeast edge of the plateau and Sichuan Province. Wind speed is the largest from November to March of the next year on the plateau, with a monthly average wind speed of more than 7 m/s in the northern and southern edges of the plateau. Wind speeds in summer and autumn are the smallest in the plateau. (2) The wind fields of Lhasa Station, Nyingchi Station, Ya’an Station and Chengdu Station along the Sichuan-Tibet railway are selected for analysis. The wind speeds show a decreasing trend from the west of the plateau to the east. (3) During the study period, the mean wind speed and maximum wind speed along the Sichuan-Tibet Railway show an obvious increasing trend from 2018 to 2020, and the number of strong wind days in Lhasa and Nyingchi also increased. Since 2018, the wind speed along the Sichuan-Tibet railway has increased, and the wind risk to the railway was increasing.

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劉杰,楚志剛.川藏地區及川藏鐵路沿線風場特征分析[J].氣象科技,2023,51(1):142~148

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  • 收稿日期:2022-02-05
  • 定稿日期:2022-08-22
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-03-03
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