北京夏季高溫變化特征及對城市熱島強度的影響
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國家自然科學基金項目(42271120、41901198)、江蘇省高等學校自然科學研究項目(20KJB170016)和江蘇第二師范學院引進人才科研啟動項目(924803)聯合資助


Characteristics and Amplified Effect of Summer High Temperature on Urban Heat Islands in Beijing
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    摘要:

    隨著全球氣候變暖和快速城市化,城市夏季高溫及熱浪出現頻次和強度明顯增加,但人口高度集聚的特大城市中夏季高溫長期變化特征對城市熱島的影響程度和作用機制仍不甚明了。本文選擇京津冀特大型城市群的核心城市北京為研究對象,基于長期氣象觀測數據計算夏季高溫和城市熱島強度,闡明5—8月夏季高溫長期變化特征及對城市熱島強度的影響。研究發現,1978—2020年北京城區夏季高溫日數、強度和極端高溫均呈現顯著增加趨勢,相伴隨的是高溫起始時間明顯提前,結束時間顯著推遲;高溫天最高氣溫熱島強度呈顯著降低趨勢,而平均氣溫和最低氣溫熱島強度則呈輕微下降趨勢;5—8月高溫天最高、平均和最低氣溫多年平均熱島強度分別為0.73 ℃、1.61 ℃和2.40 ℃,明顯高于非高溫天的0.09 ℃、0.80 ℃和1.40 ℃,高溫和非高溫天熱島強度差值均在0.6 ℃以上,表明夏季高溫放大城市熱島強度。預估未來全球變暖和快速城市化背景下北京城市熱島效應將進一步加劇,會形成更頻繁和持續更長的夏季高溫,給城市居民帶來嚴重的健康風險。

    Abstract:

    Global climate warming and rapid urbanization have caused significant increases in the frequency, intensity, and duration of urban summer high temperature and heat waves. However, the knowledge of long-term characteristics, affecting degree, and driving mechanism of summer high temperatures on urban heat islands in highly populated megalopolises still need to be discovered. Beijing is the centre of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei metropolitan area and has experienced rapid urbanization in the past few decades. This study aims to elucidate the long-term trends of summer (May-August) high temperatures and explore the affecting mechanism of summer high temperatures on urban heat islands based on 43 years (1978-2020) daily meteorological observation data from the urban station (Beijing Station) and rural station (Miyun and Yanqing Stations). In the past four decades, the summer high-temperature days, intensity, and the yearly extreme maximal air temperature have shown significant increasing trends. Correspondingly, the initial time of summer high-temperature day was markedly advanced, and the end time of summer high-temperature day was significantly delayed. The urban heat island intensity of maximal air temperature significantly decreased, but the urban heat island intensities of mean and minimal air temperature slightly decreased during the summer high-temperature period from 1978 to 2020. The urban heat island intensities of maximal, mean and minimal air temperature during the summer high-temperature period were 0.73 ℃, 1.61 ℃, and 2.40 ℃, which were significantly higher than 0.09 ℃, 0.80 ℃, and 140 ℃ during the summer non-high temperature period from 1978 to 2020. The urban heat island intensity was significantly aggravated (more than 0.6 ℃) during the period with high-temperature compared to the period without high temperature, indicating that the urban heat island effect was amplified by summer high temperature. It is projected that summer high temperatures would become more frequent, and urban heat islands in Beijing would markedly increase under the background of future climate warming and rapid urbanization. These findings underline the serious heatrelated health risks facing urban residents.

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黃群芳.北京夏季高溫變化特征及對城市熱島強度的影響[J].氣象科技,2023,51(1):66~74

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-04
  • 定稿日期:2022-09-29
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-03-03
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