2021年秋季中國氣候異常特征及主要氣象災害
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第二次青藏高原綜合科學考察研究項目(STEP,2019QZKK0105)、國家重點研發計劃(2019YFC1510202)和國家自然科學基金(42071024)共同資助


Climatic Anomalous Characteristics and Major Meteorological Disaster Events over China in Autumn 2021
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    摘要:

    利用1961—2021年中國區域2400余站地面氣象常規觀測資料,根據2019年中國氣象局發布的《區域性重要過程監測和評價業務規定》,對2021年秋季中國氣候基本概況及主要氣象災害進行全面分析。結果表明:①2021年秋季,中國氣候狀況總體偏差,平均氣溫較常年同期偏高,平均降水量較常年同期偏多;由于臺風登陸個數偏少,且強降水以及冷空氣過程影響區域疊加累積效應顯著,導致北方部分省份雨、雪和冰凍災害影響明顯高于南方。②2021年秋季,我國氣象災害形勢復雜嚴峻,極端天氣氣候復合事件多發,以暴雨洪澇、高溫干旱、低溫冰凍雨雪災害為主,災害極端性和區域性特征顯著。區域暴雨過程較常年同期偏多4.2次,北方多地發生罕見秋汛,山西、陜西等地洪澇災害較重;階段性區域高溫天氣多發,區域高溫過程較常年同期偏多2.4次,導致江南、華南高溫干旱復合發展;寒潮過程較常年同期偏多1.2次,過程影響區域疊加累積效應顯著,東北三省和內蒙古部分地區雪情較重。

    Abstract:

    Based on the routine meteorological observation data at 2400 weather stations in China from 1961 to 2021, the basic summary of climate and major meteorological disasters in China in the autumn of 2021 is comprehensively analyzed according to “Regulations on Monitoring and Evaluation of Regional Important Processes” issued by the China Meteorological Administration in 2019. The results are as follows: (1) The climate condition in China in the autumn of 2021 was generally worse than normal; the average temperature was higher than that in the same period of normal years, and the average precipitation was more than that in the same period of normal years. The less landing typhoons and the cumulative effects of the heavy rain process in the affected area were significant, with the same as the cold air process, which caused the impact of rain, snow and freezing disasters in the north to be significantly higher than that in the south. (2) In the autumn of 2021, the meteorological disasters were complex and severe in China, and the multitype extreme weather and climate events, mainly including rainstorms and floods, high-temperature and droughts, low-temperature freezing rain and snow disasters, occurred frequently, which had significant phased and regional characteristics. The number of extremely heavy rainfall processes was 4.2 more than that in the same period in normal years. There were severe autumn floods in northern China, with heavy flooding in Shanxi, Shaanxi, etc. The number of regional high-temperature processes was 2.4 more than that in the same period of the year. The regional characteristics of the high-temperature process were significant, leading to Jiangnan and southern China witnessing the compound development of high temperature and droughts. Seven cold air processes occurred in China during the autumn, three of which were cold wave processes, 1.2 times more than the same period in normal years. The cumulative effects of the affected regions were significant, resulting in heavy snow in the three northeastern provinces and parts of Inner Mongolia.

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蔡雯悅,劉遠,翟建青,王國復,閆建軍,陳逸驍,王素萍.2021年秋季中國氣候異常特征及主要氣象災害[J].氣象科技,2023,51(1):56~65

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  • 收稿日期:2022-01-30
  • 定稿日期:2022-08-22
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  • 在線發布日期: 2023-03-03
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