弱天氣強迫背景下浙江兩次暖區大暴雨過程成因分析
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國家重點研發計劃(2017YFC1502304)資助


Analysis of Causes of Two Warm-Sector Heavy Rainfall Processes in Zhejiang Province under Weak Synoptic Scale Background
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    摘要:

    2021年6月9日夜間和6月12日夜間,浙江紹興出現了兩次暖區大暴雨過程,主、客觀預報均出現較大偏差。本文利用地面加密自動站、多普勒雷達資料以及ERA5再分析資料,對這兩次過程的環流場、觸發機制和中尺度對流系統演變情況進行分析,結果如下:①兩次過程均發生在弱天氣強迫背景下,“609”過程是在邊界層急流的作用下發生的,“612”過程發生在副高邊緣;②“609”過程中垂直螺旋度大值中心最高伸展至對流層中層,上游位渦擾動不斷向下游輸送,促使暴雨區位渦擾動持續發展;“612”過程中垂直螺旋度大值中心僅伸展至對流層低層,等熵面上存在干冷空氣侵入,有利于位渦擾動迅速加強;③兩次過程的觸發機制均為β中尺度輻合線,中尺度對流系統沿著輻合線不斷發展,并處于“準靜止”狀態,造成大暴雨,“609”過程β中尺度系統較“612”過程停滯時間更長,同時受迎風坡地形抬升作用影響,降水總量更大。

    Abstract:

    On the night of June 9th and June 12th, 2021, Shaoxing, Zhejiang Province, experienced two warm-sector heavy rainfall. Both subjective and objective forecasts show large deviations. Using the ground-based automatic station, Doppler radar observation data and ERA5 reanalysis data, the circulation field, triggering mechanism and mesoscale convective system evolution of the two processes are analyzed. The results are as follows: (1) Both processes occurred under the background of weak weather forcing. The “609” process took place under the action of boundary layer jets. While the “612” process occur red at the edge of the subtropical high. (2) During the “609” process, the centre of the large vertical helicity stretched up to the middle troposphere, and the upstream potential vorticity disturbance was continuous transportation, promoting the continuous development of the potential vortex disturbance in the rainstorm area. The large vertical helicity centre of the “612” process only extended to the lower troposphere, and there was dry and cold air intrusion on the isentropic surface, which was conducive to the rapid strengthening of the potential vortex disturbance. (3) The triggering mechanisms of the two processes were both β mesoscale shear lines. The mesoscale convective system developed continuously along the shear line and was in a “quasi-static” state, causing heavy rainstorms. The β mesoscale shear line and the mesoscale convective system of the “609” process had a longer stagnation time than the “612” process and were affected by the windward slope’s uplift, so the total amount of precipitation was greater.

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錢卓蕾,馬潔華,沈曉玲,錢月平.弱天氣強迫背景下浙江兩次暖區大暴雨過程成因分析[J].氣象科技,2022,50(5):713~723

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  • 收稿日期:2021-10-29
  • 定稿日期:2022-05-12
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  • 在線發布日期: 2022-10-28
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