魯西南2020年兩次區域性大暴雨過程形成機制分析
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青島市氣象局菏澤合作專項課題項目(2019qdqxhz01)、菏澤市氣象局面上課題項目(2020006)資助


Comparative Analysis of Two Regional Heavy Rain Formation Mechanisms in Southwest Shandong in 2020
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    摘要:

    利用常規地面、高空觀測和ERA5再分析數據,對魯西南2020年7月22日(簡稱“7·22”過程)和8月6—7日(簡稱“8·6”過程)兩次區域性大暴雨及伴隨的短時強降水形成機制診斷分析。結果表明:“7·22”過程是一次地面氣旋降水過程,大暴雨主要出現在氣旋中心至移向右前部的倒槽內,短時強降水是對流不穩定觸發后,慣性不穩定的增強造成?!?·6”過程是一次副高邊緣暖區降水過程,大暴雨主要出現在低空急流的前端、地面輻合線附近,短時強降水由對流不穩定的觸發和釋放造成?!?·22”過程暖濕急流較強,水汽通量散度和動力條件顯著強于“8·6”過程,超低空強輻合區、水汽通量散度輻合大值區、水平動能大值區邊緣的強鋒生區以及濕位渦MPV大值區邊緣的|MPV2|小值區對短時強降水的出現區域指示較好。兩次過程分析均表明垂直上升運動和深厚濕區的配合對短時強降水的出現時間指示較好。

    Abstract:

    Making use of conventional ground observation, upper air observation and ERA5 reanalysis data, the regional heavy rain and its associated short-time heavy rainfall processes in Southwest Shandong Province on July 22 (referred to as “7·22” process) and August 6-7 (referred to as “8·6” process) in 2020 are diagnostically analyzed. The results show that: the “7·22” process was a surface cyclone precipitation process, and heavy rainstorms mainly occurred from the cyclone’s centre to the inverted trough moving to the front right part. The short-time heavy precipitation was caused by the enhancement of inertia instability after the convective instability was triggered. The “8·6” process was a precipitation process in the warm area of the WPSH edge, and heavy rainstorms mainly occurred in the front of the low-level jet and near the surface convergence line. The short-time heavy precipitation was caused by the triggering and release of convective instability. In the “7·22” process, the warm-wet jet was stronger, and the divergence of water vapour flux and dynamic conditions were significantly stronger than those in the process of “8·6”. The strong convergence zone at very low levels, the greater value area of vapor flux divergence, the strong frontogenesis area on the edge of greater value area of horizontal kinetic energy, and the small value area of |MPV2| on the edge of great value area of MPV are very indicative for the emergence of short-time strong rainfall. Both processes show that the combination of vertical upward movement and deep wet area is a good indicator of short-time heavy precipitation occurrence time.

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李博,呂桂恒,高飛,劉飛,郭文明.魯西南2020年兩次區域性大暴雨過程形成機制分析[J].氣象科技,2022,50(5):702~712

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  • 收稿日期:2021-09-03
  • 定稿日期:2022-04-02
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  • 在線發布日期: 2022-10-28
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