貴州省兩次超強凝凍過程的天氣成因對比分析
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國家自然基金項目(41865005)、中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2021J018)共同資助


Comparative Analysis of Causes for Two Extreme Freezing Rains in Guizhou Province
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    摘要:

    利用貴州省84個臺站常規觀測資料、NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析資料以及NOAA逐月海表溫度資料,對2008年和2011年貴州省出現的兩次超強凝凍過程的降溫幅度、影響站次、海溫背景、環流場、溫度場等進行了對比分析。結果表明:中等強度的東部型拉尼娜事件是兩次過程的有利氣候背景,東亞地區500 hPa 西高東低的距平分布、850 hPa切變線的穩定維持、700 hPa西南急流、溫度場上逆溫區以及溫度垂直剖面圖的800~600 hPa之間的融化層均是兩次過程的有利的形勢條件。而2008年過程對應850 hPa切變線位置更為靠北,且其西南急流范圍/強度、逆溫區面積/強度、冷平流強度、融化層厚度/持續時間/中心溫度均較2011年的明顯偏強,這是導致2008年冬季凝凍過程影響更為明顯的原因。

    Abstract:

    Based on data from 84 observation stations in Guizhou Province and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, a comprehensive comparative analysis of two extreme freezing rains that occurred in 2008 and 2011 are made through temperature declining amplitudes, affected stations, sea surface temperature patterns and circulation patterns. The results show that: the Eastern type of La Nina with medium intensity provided a favourable condition for the development of freezing rain in two cases. Besides, there were some similar circulation patterns in two cases, such as positive geopotential height anomalies over West Asia and negative geopotential height over East Asia at 500 hPa, stable maintenance of shear line at 850 hPa, southwest jet at 700 hPa, temperature inversion layer and melting layer between 800 to 600 hPa, which were conducive to the formation of freezing rain. However, compared to the case in 2011, it could be observed that the shear line located further north, southwest jet at 850 hPa and temperature inversion layer had stronger intensity and larger area, colder temperature advection and thicker melting layer with longer duration and higher centre temperature from the case in 2008, which could possibly result in more significant influence from freezing rains in 2008.

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李忠燕,任曼琳,譚婭姮,嚴小冬,王爍.貴州省兩次超強凝凍過程的天氣成因對比分析[J].氣象科技,2022,50(5):686~693

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  • 收稿日期:2021-07-09
  • 定稿日期:2022-03-31
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  • 在線發布日期: 2022-10-28
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