飛機試飛的自然結冰潛勢預測及檢驗評估
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工業和信息化部民機適航性驗證自然結冰氣象條件研究(MJ-2014-J-70)、上海市氣象局重大科研項目(ZD201906)資助


Aircraft Natural Icing Potential Forecast and Its Evaluation in Flight Test
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    摘要:

    自然結冰試飛是運輸類飛機合格審定必須實施的高難度、高風險試飛科目,需要在環境溫度、云中液態水含量(LWC)和云滴中值體積直徑(MVD)滿足條件,含有大量過冷水的環境中完成規定的飛行動作。利用2020年3月16日、26日及27日閻良機場國產某大型運輸機自然結冰試飛的地面、高空、衛星、雷達和機載探測等多源觀測資料,對3次自然結冰試飛氣象條件進行了對比分析,并驗證了李佰平等改進的自然結冰潛勢算法有效性。結果表明:改進的自然結冰潛勢算法對于結冰區域的預報較為準確,但在結冰強度預報上需進一步優化。西風系統因水汽條件不足,結冰氣象條件較南支系統要差。高空冷空氣未到達試飛區域前,云中環境溫度偏高,結冰強度較弱;冷暖空氣交匯的區域,LWC較高,MVD較為合適,結冰較強。研究結果對未來在閻良機場開展運輸類飛機自然結冰試飛的窗口期和空域選擇、協同指揮保障均具有參考意義。

    Abstract:

    The natural icing flight test is a highly difficult and high-risk subject that must be implemented for transportation aircraft certification. It needs to meet the conditions of ambient temperature, cloud Liquid Water Content (LWC) and cloud drop Median Volume Diameter (MVD) and complete the required flight manoeuvres in an environment containing a lot of supercooled liquid water. This paper uses the ground, high-altitude, satellite, radar and airborne detection data from the natural icing test flight of a domestic large transport aircraft at Yanliang Airport on 16th, 26th and 27th March 2020. The meteorological conditions of the three natural icing test flights are compared and analyzed. And the effectiveness of Li Baiping’s improved natural icing potential algorithm is verified. The results show that Li Baiping’s improved natural icing potential algorithm is more accurate for predicting icing location, but it needs further optimization in the prediction of icing intensity. Due to insufficient water vapour conditions in the west wind system, the natural icing weather conditions are worse than those in the southern branch system. Before the high-altitude cold air reaches the test flight area, the ambient temperature in the cloud is relatively high, and the icing intensity is low. The cold and warm air meets a higher LWC, a more suitable MVD, and strong icing. The research results are of reference significance for determining the window and airspace for the natural icing flight test of transportation aircraft at Yanliang Airport and the coordinated command guarantee in the future.

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倪洪波,李佰平,閆文輝,李靜,張瑩,張華,倪萍.飛機試飛的自然結冰潛勢預測及檢驗評估[J].氣象科技,2022,50(2):254~266

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  • 收稿日期:2021-05-22
  • 定稿日期:2021-11-04
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  • 在線發布日期: 2022-04-28
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