“16·7”石家莊特大暴雨多源觀測信息特征分析
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中國氣象局氣象關鍵技術發展專項(YBGJXM(2020)4A-09)、河北省氣象局面上項目(20KY14)、災害天氣國家重點實驗室開放課題(2018LASW-B02)資助


Analysis on Multi-source Observation Information Characteristics of Extremely Torrential Rain in Shijiazhuang on 19-20 July 2016
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    利用風廓線雷達、地基GPS水汽、微波輻射計、多普勒天氣雷達、衛星云圖、閃電定位儀、地面加密自動站等多源觀測資料,對“16·7”石家莊特大暴雨的演變特征進行分析,結果表明:①GPS水汽總量和微波輻射計水汽總量的高值階段對應強降水階段,水汽總量與降水強度成正相關。降水開始前水汽總量明顯上升,突升到高值時間比降水開始時間提前5 h,水汽總量突增對降水開始時間有提示作用。②低層偏東風的厚度和強度與強降水呈正相關,低層風向轉西北風預示強降水結束。低空急流出現時間比降水開始時間提前5 h,低空急流消散時間比降水結束時間偏早3 h,超過20 m·s-1的東風急流對強降水有一定指示作用。強降雨對應低空急流最低高度的下降和低層最大風速的增加,也就是對應低空急流指數和0~3 km垂直風切變的峰值區。③此過程以穩定性降水為主,僅在19日伴有弱閃電和雷暴出現。雷達回波和衛星云圖表現為大范圍層狀云和積狀云混合降水回波,回波質心低,列車效應明顯,屬于熱帶降水類型。云頂亮溫最低值-55 ℃,雷達反射率因子、垂直累積液態水含量和回波頂高最大值分別為55 dBz、15 kg·m-2和11 km,與降水量有明顯相關;低層徑向速度場對應明顯的速度大值區或速度模糊。

    Abstract:

    The evolution characteristics of “16.7” extremely torrential rain in Shijiazhuang is analyzed using multi-source observation data such as wind profile radar, ground GPS water vapour, microwave radiometer, weather radar, satellite cloud, lightning location and ground intensive automatic weather stations. The results show that: (1) High-value stage of total water vapour by ground-based GPS and microwave radiometer was parallel with the heavy precipitation stage. The entire water vapour was positively related to the precipitation intensity. The total water vapour content increased significantly before the beginning of precipitation, and the sudden increase of total water vapour had a hint effect on the beginning time of precipitation. The high-value time was 5 hours ahead of the starting time of precipitation. (2) The thickness and intensity of east wind in the low layer positively correlated with heavy precipitation. The wind direction of the lower layer turned to the northwest wind, indicating the end of the heavy rainfall. The emergence time of low-level jet was 5 hours earlier than the beginning time of precipitation, and the dissipation time of low-level jet was 3 hours earlier than the end time of precipitation. When its wind speed was more than 20 m·s-1, the east wind jet had a certain indication effect on the heavy precipitation. The strong rainfall corresponded to the decrease of the minimum height of low-level jet and the increase of the maximum wind speed at the lower level, which was the peak area of the low-level jet index and vertical wind shear of 0-3 km. (3) The process was more stable, and the weak lightning and thunderstorm only occurred on the 19th. Radar echo and satellite cloud showed this precipitation of mixed clouds, including large-scale stratiform cloud and cumulus cloud. The centroid of echo was low, and the training effect was obvious. It belongs to the type of tropical precipitation. The minimum of TBB was -55 ℃. The maximum reflectivity factor, vertical cumulative liquid water content, and echo top were 55 dBz, 15 kg·m-2, and 11 km, respectively, obviously related to precipitation. The large value area or velocity ambiguity appeared in the radial velocity fields.

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李國翠,鈐偉妙,李禧亮.“16·7”石家莊特大暴雨多源觀測信息特征分析[J].氣象科技,2022,50(2):234~242

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  • 收稿日期:2021-08-02
  • 定稿日期:2021-11-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2022-04-28
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