EAR70、CLDAS和ERAInterim表層土壤溫度在中國地區的評估
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國家重點研發計劃(2018YFC1506601)資助


Evaluation of EAR70, CLDAS, and ERA-Interim Reanalysis Surface Soil Temperatures Across China
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    摘要:

    本文利用2010—2015年2400多國家氣象站逐小時觀測數據對覆蓋中國的EAR70、CLDAS和ERAInterim 3種表層土壤溫度進行了評估和對比。結果表明:空間上CLDAS表層土壤溫度精度最高(平均誤差為-0.5 ℃,均方根誤差為3.0 ℃,相關系數為0.96),受益于CLDAS高精度的陸面初始場,EAR70平均誤差得到了改善;時間上ERAInterim再分析表層土壤溫度在6:00和夏、秋季精度會明顯下降,再分析表層土壤溫度在數值較高時段表現出冷偏差,原因是模擬的土壤溫度數值上升速度慢,對應的參數化方案有待改進。再分析表層土壤溫度在東北地區冬季存在冷偏差,可能和積雪覆蓋有關,陸面參數化方案也有待提高。在地形復雜的青藏高原地區,融合地面觀測的CLDAS提高了大氣驅動的質量進而改進了土壤的模擬。ERAInterim分辨率較粗不適合在青藏高原或者沿海地區使用,結合了CLDAS的EAR70在青藏高原精度提高。土壤表層溫度的精度隨著高精度的土壤狀態初始場進入模式中時間延長會顯著下降。因此,CLDAS的實時同化方式,能夠有效提高在分析數據的精度。

    Abstract:

    Based on hourly observations from more than 2400 national weather stations in 2010-2015, this paper evaluates and compares the surface soil temperatures of EAR70, CLDAS and ERAInterim. 〖JP2〗The main conclusions are: CLDAS surface soil temperature had the highest accuracy in space (ME was -0.5 ℃, 〖JP〗RMSE was 3.0 ℃, R was 0.96). EAR70 benefited from the initial land surface field with CLDAS’s highprecision ME improved. The accuracy of reanalysis surface soil temperature was significantly reduced at around 06:00 and in summer and autumn. Reanalysis surface soil temperature exhibited a cold deviation during the relatively highvalue period. The reason was that the simulated soil temperature value rose slowly, and the corresponding parameterization scheme needed to be modified. There was a cold deviation in the Northeast region where snow covered the ground in winter, which may be related to the snow cover. The land surface parameterization scheme needed to be improved. In the complex terrain of the QinghaiTibet Plateau, CLDAS, which integrated ground observations, performed a good precision in atmospheric forcing data and thus improved soil simulation. The resolution of ERAInterim was relatively coarse and not suitable for the QinghaiTibet Plateau or coastal areas. Benefitted from CLDAS’s soil states in good quality, the accuracy of EAR70 had been improved in the QinghaiTibet Plateau. The high accuracy of the soil state’s initial field decreased significantly following the time increased after observation entering the assimilation system. Therefore, the realtime assimilation method used in CLDAS can improve the accuracy of soil temperature signals effectively.

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單帥,師春香,沈潤平,白磊. EAR70、CLDAS和ERAInterim表層土壤溫度在中國地區的評估[J].氣象科技,2021,49(6):830~837

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  • 收稿日期:2020-09-01
  • 定稿日期:2021-08-25
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  • 在線發布日期: 2021-12-29
  • 出版日期: 2021-12-31
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