湖南一次強降水天氣過程分析
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中國氣象局預報員專項(CMAYBY2020085)、湖南省業務能力建設(NLJS14)和中國氣象局2021年創新發展專項(YBGJXM202107)資助


Analysis of a Heavy Rainfall Process in Hunan
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    摘要:

    綜合運用常規、非常規加密觀測資料、風云衛星資料和1°×1°的NCEP/NCAR再分析資料,對2019年主汛期湖南一次強降雨過程進行分析及成因探討。結果表明:此次降雨過程影響系統復雜多變,由暖區暴雨、中層冷平流入侵暴雨、鋒面暴雨組成,冷空氣入侵時降雨效率最高,小時雨強與累計降雨達到最強;副高明顯偏強,較歷年同期偏西24個經度,其邊緣多短波槽活動,高空冷渦活動明顯,冷渦與冷槽同位相疊加,槽底往南發展至30°N以南,其后部偏北氣流引導冷空氣滲透南下與副高邊緣西南氣流交綏,是持續強降水的大尺度環流背景;中小尺度系統活動頻繁,多個中尺度對流復合體(MCC)發展合并,直接造成暴雨天氣;雷達回波圖可看出低質心降水的特征,降雨效率高;強降水發生時散度場空間分布和垂直速度對應較好,強上升中心與無輻散層相對明顯。

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    By using the conventional and unconventional intensive observation data, FY satellite data and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data (1°×1°), a heavy rainfall process happened in Hunan in the main flood season of 2019 is analyzed and its causes are discussed. The results show that: the influence systems of this rainfall process were complex and changeable, which were composed of the warm zone rainstorm, middle cold advection intrusion rainstorm, and frontal rainstorm. The highest rainfall effectiveness occurred when the cold air invaded, and the strongest hourly rainfall intensity and accumulated rainfall reached the peak; the subtropical high was obviously strong, 24 longitudes west than the same period of previous year, and there were multiple active shortwave troughs around. The upper cold vortex activity was obvious, and the cold vortex and cold trough were superimposed in the same phase. The bottom of trough developed southward to the south of 30°N, and the northerly airflow at the back of the trough guided the cold air to penetrate southward and intersect with the southwest airflow at the edge of the subtropical high, which was the largescale circulation background of continuous heavy rainfall. Frequent activities of medium and smallscale systems and the development and merger of multiple MCC (Mesoscale Convective Complex) directly caused the rainstorm. The radar echo map shows the characteristics of lowcentroid precipitation and high rainfall effectiveness. When heavy rainfall occurred, the spatial distribution of divergence field and vertical velocity corresponded well, and the strong rising center and the nondivergence layer were relatively obvious.

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楊云蕓,劉紅武,蘇濤,胡燕,鐘聲,王曉雷.湖南一次強降水天氣過程分析[J].氣象科技,2021,49(3):446~454

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  • 收稿日期:2020-04-14
  • 定稿日期:2021-01-18
  • 錄用日期:
  • 在線發布日期: 2021-06-23
  • 出版日期: 2021-06-30
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