2019年臺風利奇馬引發山東特大暴雨成因分析
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國家局預報員專項(CMAYBY2019064)、山東省重點課題(2019sdqxz09)資助


Causual Analysis of Extra Torrential Rain of Typhoon Lekima in Shandong in 2019
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    摘要:

    利用地面觀測資料、雷達資料、FY2G衛星云圖資料及歐洲中心細網格資料,對臺風利奇馬登陸北上引發山東特大暴雨的成因進行分析。發現:利奇馬登陸北上過程中,冷空氣先后從臺風的西部、西南部與南部侵入至臺風中心內部,使其暖心結構逐漸減弱,其變性時段發生在10日20:00至11日08:00。山東的特大暴雨主要出現在臺風變性前12 h至臺風變性后6 h。變性之前的暴雨主要是由于臺風螺旋云帶與高空槽尾部云系相疊加造成的,變性之后的暴雨則是由于冷空氣侵入致使臺風外圍云系演變成強對流復合體造成的。變性之前,對流層內800~500 hPa風速小,500~250 hPa風速大,氣層內有暖平流,整層的上升運動,降水以暖區對流降水為主;變性之后800~500 hPa風速大,500~250 hPa風速小,500 hPa至地面是上升運動,以上為下沉運動,降水以斜壓鋒區附近的對流降水為主。當500 hPa至地面氣層內出現冷平流時,濕層變薄,降水趨于減弱。特大暴雨區出現在臺風中心西北方向,與850 hPa假相當位溫鋒區與水汽通量散度輻合大值區相吻合。

    Abstract:

    Using the surface observation data, radar data, FY2G satellite cloud images and ECMWF_HR data, the extra torrential rain of Typhoon Lekima in Shandong in 2019 is analyzed. The results show that during the landfalling and northward moving process of Lekima, the cold air invaded into the center from west, southwest and south of the typhoon, which gradually weakened its warm center structure and during the extratropical transition period from 20:00 of 10 August to 08:00 of 11 August. The extra torrential rain in Shandong occurred during the period of 12 hours ahead and 6 hours later of the extratropical transition. Before the transition, the precipitation in Shandong was mainly caused by the interaction between the spiral cloud belt of the typhoon and the tail clouds of the low trough, but the precipitation during the transition was caused by the cold air intrusion which made the clouds outside of the typhoon develop into mesoscale convective convergence. Before the transition, the wind speed of 800 to 500 hPa in the troposphere was small, and that of 500 to 250 hPa was large. There were warm advection and ascending motion in the air layer, and the main precipitation came from convective precipitation in the warm zone. After the transition, the wind speed of 800 to 500 hPa was large, and that of 500 to 250 hPa was small. The ascending motion lain from 500 hPa to the ground, and the descending motion was above 500 hPa. The precipitation belonged mainly the convective precipitation near the baroclinefront area. When the cold advection appeared between 500 hPa to the ground, the wet layer became thinner and the precipitation tended to weaken. The heavy rain appeared in the energy front on the northwest direction of the typhoon center, which was consistent with the divergence convergence of water vapor flux at 850 hPa.

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鄭麗娜,王媛,張子涵.2019年臺風利奇馬引發山東特大暴雨成因分析[J].氣象科技,2021,49(3):437~445

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  • 收稿日期:2020-04-28
  • 定稿日期:2021-01-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2021-06-23
  • 出版日期: 2021-06-30
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