地質災害氣象風險預警實時檢驗客觀工具關鍵技術及應用
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國家重點研發計劃(2018YFC1507505、2018YFC1507205和2018YFC1508102)、國家自然科學基金項目(41775111)、中國氣象局創新發展專項(CXFZ2021Z033)共同資助


Development of a Real-Time Verification Objective Tool for Meteorological Risk Warning to Geological Hazards
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    摘要:

    中國氣象局災害管理系統中地質災害關鍵詞和災害發生時間具有多種組織結構的信息特征,災害信息分析依賴于人工,不利于地質災害氣象風險預警檢驗的實時性和客觀化。本文結合災情信息特征和中文自然語言處理軟件包Jieba研發了地質災害多元災情信息智能分析技術,開發了地質災害氣象風險預警實時檢驗客觀工具。檢驗工具集成了多元災害信息智能分析,業務檢驗方法為主檢驗主客觀預警,檢驗結果產品自動化輸出等功能,可實現預警檢驗全部流程。2015—2019年地質災害氣象風險預警檢驗應用表明,實時檢驗客觀工具提取災害信息準確率達到97%,檢驗效率高,實時性和集成化優勢明顯。

    Abstract:

    The hazard information was collected manually for keywords and the occurrence time of geological hazards in the hazard management system of the Chinese Meteorological Administration, which have multiple organization structures in information characteristics and are thus adverse to the realtime property and objectivity of verification for meteorological risk warning to geological hazard. In this study, an objective technique of intelligent analysis for multiple information of geological hazards by computer and a realtime verification objective tool for meteorological risk warning to geological hazard are developed based on the characteristic analysis of hazard reports and a natural language processing software named Jieba. This objective tool can accomplish all the processes of verification by integrating functions of hazard information analysis, verification to objective and subjective meteorological risk warning to geological hazards, and output verification result products automatically. Verification for meteorological risk warning to geological hazards from 2015 to 2019 shows that the objective tool has an accuracy rate of 97% in gathering hazard information, higher efficiency in analyzing hazards and verifying meteorological risk warning, which has obvious advantages of real time and integration compared with similar tools.

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楊寅,包紅軍,徐成鵬.地質災害氣象風險預警實時檢驗客觀工具關鍵技術及應用[J].氣象科技,2021,49(2):291~296

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2020-04-10
  • 定稿日期:2020-09-07
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  • 在線發布日期: 2021-04-25
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