GPM IMERG和ERA5降水數據精度在云南復雜地形區域的評估檢驗
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國家自然科學基金項目(41165004)、云南省臨滄市氣象局“短平快”科研項目資助


Accuracy Evaluation and Comparison of GPM IMERG and ERA5 Precipitation Products over Complex Terrain of Yunnan
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    摘要:

    為評估和對比GPM IMERG、ERA5降水數據在云南的適用性,利用2014年4月至2018年6月的地面氣象觀測數據、GPM IMERG衛星遙感降水產品和ERA5再分析降水數據,采用定量和分類評分7項指標評估GPM IMERG和ERA5日降水產品在云南的適用性。結果表明:2種數據存在小雨日雨量高估,中雨及以上量級雨日雨量低估的問題,ERA5數據更為突出,小雨日居多導致降水整體高估;GPM IMERG數據空、漏報并存,ERA5則高空報、低漏報嚴重;小雨日較多(較少)的區域2種數據易出現高漏報(空報);不同雨強區間GPM IMERG秋季降水數據精度最高,冬季存在低雨強低估,高雨強高估的不同表現;20 mm/d以下中低雨強段上2種降水數據與地面站點數據誤差較小,雨強變大,誤差增大,雨強大于20 mm/d時,2種數據隨雨強增大與站點偏差差異更為顯著;隨坡度和起伏度增大2種降水數據精度呈變差趨勢;多項指標評估表明GPM IMERG降水數據在云南具有更高精度。研究結果為應用和開展農業、水利、水文、氣象等相關學科研究提供參考依據。

    Abstract:

    The uncertainty of the satellite precipitation products limits their applicability in complex terrain areas. This paper evaluates the applicability of the new rainfall products, GPM (Global Precipitation Measurement) IMERG (Integrated MultisatellitE Retrievals for GPM) and ERA5 precipitation in Yunnan Province area based on the meteorological data. The data of a total of 125 weather stations from April 2014 to June 2018 are used to evaluate and compare the accuracies of GPM IMERG and ERA5. The correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE), relative bias (BIAS), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and the classification statistical analysis indexes (POD, FAR, CIS) are used to assess the applicability of GPM IMERG and ERA5. The result shows that: The two kinds of data have the problems of overestimation of daily precipitation of light rainfall and underestimation of daily precipitation of moderate and above rainfall, and ERA5 data is more prominent in this respect. GPM IMERG data have both higher false and missing alarm rates, while ERA5 data have seriously higher and lower missing rate, especially in light rain days. The areas with more (less) light rain days are in good agreement with the two areas with higher missing (false) rates. In autumn, the precipitation data accuracy of GPM IMERG is the highest in different rain intensity ranges. In winter, there are different performances: underestimation of low rain intensity and overestimation of high rain intensity. For the medium and low rainfall intensity of below 20 mm/d, the errors between the two precipitation data and ground station data are relatively small, and the errors increase with the increasing rain intensity. When the rain intensity is greater than 20 mm/d, the difference between the two data and the station increases more significantly with the increasing rain intensity. With the increase of slope and fluctuation, the accuracy of two kinds of precipitation data presents a trend of deterioration. The evaluation indexes show that GPM IMERG precipitation data have higher accuracy in Yunnan. The research results provide a reference for the application and development of agriculture, water conservancy, hydrology, meteorology and other related disciplines.

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趙平偉,李斌,王佳妮,楊宏慶,郭萍,龔麗軍. GPM IMERG和ERA5降水數據精度在云南復雜地形區域的評估檢驗[J].氣象科技,2021,49(1):114~123

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  • 收稿日期:2019-12-02
  • 定稿日期:2020-09-07
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  • 在線發布日期: 2021-03-04
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