TK2GPS人影探空火箭與L波段探空數據差異性分析
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西北區域人工影響天氣能力建設項目研究試驗項目(ZQCR18208)、中國氣象局云霧物理環境重點開放實驗室開放課題(2018Z01603)和甘肅省氣象局科研項目(Ms201919)資助


Analysis of Difference between Observations by TK-2GPS Sounding Rocket and L-Band Sounding Radar
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    摘要:

    開展TK2GPS人影探空火箭探測數據的分析檢驗,對于了解試驗儀器的適用性和數據可靠性及其在人影中的應用前景非常重要。利用TK2GPS人影探空火箭和L波段探空資料,采用平均偏差、均方根誤差和相關系數等分析方法,對兩種探空的溫度、相對濕度、風向及風速等要素的差異性和變化特征進行了對比分析,并對可能造成差異的原因進行了探討。結果表明:探空火箭與L波段探空同要素間均呈顯著的正相關,通過了0.05及以上顯著性檢驗。溫度、風速平均偏差和離散度較小,相關性最好;相對濕度的平均偏差雖大,但相關性較好;風向在各高度層的離散度較大。兩種探空的溫度、風速垂直廓線變化趨勢一致性高;相對濕度垂直廓線變化趨勢存在一定差異,前者相對濕度較后者明顯偏小。隨水平探測距離的增加,探空火箭探測數據相對L波段探空的偏差值有所增大。通過相關分析建立的相對濕度訂正方程,能很好地對探空火箭的相對濕度進行訂正。

    Abstract:

    It is very important to analyze and test the data of the TK2GPS sounding rocket for understanding the applicability and the data reliability of the test instrument and its application prospects in weather modification. Based on the analysis methods of average deviation (BIAS), root mean square error (RMSE), and correlation coefficient, usging the TK2GPS sounding rocket and Lband sounding radar data, the differences and variation characteristics of the sounding data such as temperature, relative humidity, wind direction and wind speed are compared and analyzed, and the possible causes of the differences are discussed. The results show that the TK2 GPS sounding rocket and the Lband sounding have significant positive correlations with the same elements, and passed the significance test of 0.05 and above. Analyses of the differences between the two sounding data reveal that the average deviation and dispersion of temperature and wind speed are small; although the average deviation of relative humidity is large, correlation is good; the dispersion of wind direction at each level is large, and the correlation is poor. The vertical profiles of temperature and wind speed of the two soundings are highly consistent. The vertical profile of relative humidity is significantly different at low altitudes and more consistent at higher altitudes; the relative humidity at low altitudes is greater than that at high altitudes. The difference trend in wind profiles is just the opposite of relative humidity profiles. With the increase of horizontal detection distance, the deviation of each element of sounding rocket from Lband sounding increases. The correction equation of relative humidity is established by correlation analysis. It can correct the relative humidity of sounding rockets very well.

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程鵬,李寶梓,黃穎,陳佩璇,陳祺,羅漢. TK2GPS人影探空火箭與L波段探空數據差異性分析[J].氣象科技,2021,49(1):46~54

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  • 收稿日期:2020-01-22
  • 定稿日期:2020-07-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2021-03-04
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