川西高原持續性暴雨特征和水汽輸送
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高原與盆地暴雨旱澇災害四川省重點實驗室課題(2018青年27,SCQXKJQN2020017)資助


Characteristics of Persistent Heavy Rainfall and Water Vapor Transport in Western Sichuan Plateau
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    摘要:

    利用常規資料、NCEP FNL分析資料和HYSPLIT模式,對2008—2017年川西高原持續性暴雨過程的時空分布、環流分型、水汽源地和輸送路徑進行分析。結果表明:①2008—2017年川西高原單站持續性暴雨的總頻次為337次,在21次區域持續性暴雨中,位于高原與盆地過渡區的瀘定、康定、汶川出現持續性暴雨次數最多;②7月發生頻率最高,持續時間多為3~4天;③將影響川西高原暴雨的環流分型為兩槽一脊型、一脊一槽型、西風槽型和偏西氣流型,其中孟加拉灣氣旋影響有16例,6—7月個例都有孟加拉灣氣旋的存在;④川西高原上空氣團主要通過4條路徑進入,源自北大西洋、地中海和伊朗中北部的西北路徑占比29%,源自里海到咸海之間地區的東北路徑占比17%,源自熱帶印度洋洋面的西南和東南路徑各占比43%和11%,偏北路徑的空氣質點起始高度比偏南路徑的高,相應的溫度和水汽含量也偏低;⑤將水汽輸送分為“S”型、偏西氣流型和偏南氣流型3個類型。

    Abstract:

    Based on the routine observational data, NCEP FNL data and the HYSPLIT model, the spatiotemporal distribution, circulation situation, water vapor source and transport path of the persistent heavy rainfall events in the western Sichuan Plateau from 2008 to 2017 are analyzed. The main results are as follows: The total frequency of persistent heavy rainfall events in all observation stations of the western Sichuan Plateau is 337, and the frequency of regional heavy rainfall episodes is 21, in which the transition areas between plateau and basin including Luding, Kangding and Wenchuan have the highest frequency of persistent heavy rainfall. The longest duration of heavy rainfall events is about 3 to 4 days. In this study, the influencing circulation situations contains two troughs and one ridge, one trough and one ridge, and westerly trough. The cyclone over the Bay of Bengal is found to be a crucial weather system, which appears in 16 of the 21 regional persistent heavy rainfall cases. Moreover, all the regional cases in June and July are affected by the Bay of Bengal cyclone. The air masses on the western Sichuan Plateau are mainly accessed through four paths. The southwest and southeast routes originating from the tropical Indian Ocean are 43% and 11%, respectively, and the northwestern routes originating from the North Atlantic, the Mediterranean and the northcentral Iran account for 29%. The northeast path from the Caspian Sea to the Aral Sea accounts for 17%. The initial altitude of air particles of the northerly path is higher than that of the southerly path, and the corresponding temperature and water vapor content are lower. After analyzing the water vapor flux and water vapor flux divergence, the water vapor transport in regional persistent heavy rainfall in the western Sichuan Plateau is classified as three types, namely the S type, the westerly airflow type and the southerly airflow type.

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武敬峰,徐曉芳,趙巍燃,青泉,鄒玲.川西高原持續性暴雨特征和水汽輸送[J].氣象科技,2020,48(5):704~716

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  • 收稿日期:2019-07-01
  • 定稿日期:2020-05-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2020-10-26
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