GRAPES模式后處理技術改進應用研究
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科技冬奧專項冬奧會氣象條件預測保障關鍵技術(2018YFF0300103)資助


Improvement and Application of Post-Processing Technology in GRAPES Model
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    摘要:

    詳細梳理了GRAEPS模式后處理系統的計算方案,進行了GRAPES模式后處理中海平面氣壓計算方案的改進,溫度垂直插值方案的改進以及位勢高度的垂直插值外插方案的改進等。假定溫度廓線隨地形高度變化并滿足靜力平衡條件,對海平面氣壓及位勢高度外插進行改進,改進后海平面氣壓和低層等壓面的位勢高度場在青藏高原和南美洲西部等大地形處改進明顯,均方根誤差和距平相關系數改進較大并通過顯著性檢驗。對溫度垂直插值采用的原始插值層進行改進,使得高層等壓面溫度場的準確性進一步提高,統計檢驗評分在各區域都有不同程度的提高,尤其是熱帶地區和東亞地區高層溫度場改善明顯。這些都為模式產品用戶提供了更可靠的數值模式產品。

    Abstract:

    The calculation schemes of the postprocessing system of the GRAEPS model are studied in detail, and the sea level pressure calculation scheme and the temperature vertical interpolation scheme in the GRAPES postprocessing system, and the extrapolation scheme in the vertical interpolation of potential height are improved. GRAPES mostly adopts the cubic spline function method to vertical interpolation, and the interpolation precision can be guaranteed. However, the sea level pressure calculation scheme and the extrapolation scheme below the terrain in the previous GRAPES postprocessing system is not detailed enough. In this paper, assuming that the temperature profile varied with terrain height and the model atmosphere satisfied the static equilibrium condition, the sea level pressure calculation scheme and the original interpolation layer of sea level pressure and temperature used for vertical interpolation is optimized, so that the accuracy of sea level pressure and highlevel temperature is further improved. The statistical test scores are improved in different regions, and the sea level pressure and the highlevel temperature field in the tropics and East Asia improved significantly and passed the significance test. The extrapolation schemes of potential height are optimized, and the lowlevel potential heights are improved significantly in large terrains such as the QinghaiTibet Plateau and the western South America. Statistical results show that this scheme has significant improvements in the anomaly correlation coefficient and root mean square error in the lowlevel fields in various regions of the world. These provide more reliable numerical model products for users.

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佟華,胡江林,張玉濤. GRAPES模式后處理技術改進應用研究[J].氣象科技,2020,48(4):511~517

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2019-07-04
  • 定稿日期:2020-04-20
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  • 在線發布日期: 2020-08-21
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