GPM/IMERG產品在魯南地區的精度評估
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2017年山東省氣象局青年科研基金項目(2017SDQN15)資助


Evaluation of GPM/IMERG Products in Southern Shandong
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    摘要:

    為了評估GPM/IMERG產品在魯南地區的精度,利用2016年1—12月魯南地區35個國家氣象站的降水觀測數據,采用定量和分類評分指標的方法,從時間、空間和降雨強度等方面對GPM/IMERG產品在魯南地區的適用性進行評估。結果表明:IMERG數據在魯南地區具有較高的精度,IMERG與站點觀測數據相關系數為0.8,均方根誤差為5.47 mm/d,相對偏差為2.27%;從時間上來看,IMERG與站點觀測區域平均日降水和月降水總體變化趨勢是一致的,夏季的估算精度高于其他季節;從空間上來看,年降水量偏多的臺站,IMERG數據會低估,年降水量偏少的臺站,IMERG數據會高估,IMERG對中緯度山地和丘陵的估測精度優于平原;IMERG產品的估計精度與降雨強度有關,當降水量級為微量降水(小于1 mm/d)時,衛星估測能力較弱,當降水強度為小雨及以上量級時,衛星估測降水產品與實際觀測概率密度差異較??;IMERG估算穩定性降水的能力較強,在降水較多月份,IMERG的探測準確率較高、空報率較低、臨界成功指數較好。

    Abstract:

    Based on the precipitation data from 35 rain gauge stations of the southern Shandong Province and using the quantitative and classification score methods, the authors evaluate the applicability of GPM/IMERG products from time, space and rainfall intensity from January to December 2016. The results show that the IMERG data has high precision in the southern Shandong Province as a whole. The correlation coefficient between IMERG and site observation data is 0.8, the root mean square error is 5.47 mm/day, and the relative deviation is 2.27%. In terms of time, the IMERG data is consistent with the overall trend of average daily precipitation and monthly precipitation in the observation area of the site. The accuracy of the IMERG data in summer is better than those in other seasons. From a spatial point of view, the IMERG data will be underestimated in the areas with more annual precipitation, and overestimated in the areas with less annual precipitation. The IMERG data are more accurate in the midlatitude mountains and hill areas than those in plain in estimating. The estimation accuracy of IMERG products is related to rainfall intensity. When the precipitation level is microprecipitation (less than 1 mm/d), the IMERG estimation ability is weak. When the precipitation intensity is light rain and above, the difference between IMERG product and actual observed probability density is small. IMERG has a strong ability to estimate stable precipitation. In the months of more precipitation, the detection accuracy of IMERG is higher, the false alarm ratio is lower, and the critical success index is better.

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李芳,孔宇,高謙. GPM/IMERG產品在魯南地區的精度評估[J].氣象科技,2020,48(4):474~481

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  • 收稿日期:2019-07-16
  • 定稿日期:2019-10-08
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  • 在線發布日期: 2020-08-21
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