河北南網架空導線載流量相關氣象參數分析
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國網河北省電力有限公司科技項目(項目編號kj201718,項目編碼5204DY160008),國家自然科學基金項目(41705075),河北省氣象局科研開發項目(16ky04),干旱氣象科學研究基金項目(IAM201601)資助


Analysis of Meteorological Parameters Related with CurrentCarrying Capacity of Power Grid over Southern Hebei Province
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    摘要:

    傳統上架空線路允許最大載流量是依據固化的、苛刻的氣象參數組合來確定的,其計算結果往往偏于保守。為使允許最大載流量設定更接近實際氣象情況,本研究結合河北南部94個自動氣象站點逐時觀測數據驅動導線熱平衡方程進行載流量分析,將傳統恒定載流量轉換為季節變動的載流量,以充分挖掘河北南網架空導線輸電能力。在分析允許最大載流量對環境風速和氣溫變化的敏感程度基礎上,確定了環境氣溫和風速兩種氣象參數的概率密度分布,并獲取了區域允許最大載流量的概率分布,評估了不同安全運行概率下的輸電能力。結果表明,在95%的安全運行保障下,河北南部LGJ400/35型架空導線最大載流量在春夏秋冬四季可分別設定為945、774、795和1012 A,顯著高于傳統載流量定值。在季節尺度上,基于實際氣象參數調整的河北南部架空導線載流量設定有效地挖掘了電網輸電能力。

    Abstract:

    The maximum allowable carryingcurrent capacity of overhead transmission lines highly depends on the meteorological parameters but traditionally the rigid and harsh setting of meteorological parameters makes the carryingcurrent capacity conservative. In order to make the carryingcurrent capacity setting satisfy the actual meteorological situation, this study utilizes the hourly data from 94 automatic meteorological stations over the southern Hebei to drive the wire energy balance equation for the analysis of carryingcurrent capacity. It helps to improve the transmission capacity of the transmission lines in the southern Hebei that the constant carryingcurrent capacity is changed into seasonally varied carryingcurrent capacity. Based on the analysis of the sensitivity of allowable maximum carryingcurrent capacity to the variation of ambient wind speed and air temperature, the study has determined the probability density distribution of ambient air temperature and wind speed, obtained the regional probability distribution of allowable maximum carryingcurrent capacity, and evaluated the transmission capacity at several safety operation levels. The results show that at the 95% safety operation level, the maximum carryingcurrent capacity of the LGJ400/35 transmission line in the southern Hebei can be set to 945, 774, 795 and 1012 A in spring, summer, autumn and winter, respectively, which is significantly higher than the traditional carryingcurrent capacity. Thus, currentcarrying capacity of the overhead transmission lines driven by actual meteorological data on the seasonal scales improves the transmission capacity of the lines.

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李宏宇,鄭雄偉,賈伯巖,顧光芹.河北南網架空導線載流量相關氣象參數分析[J].氣象科技,2019,47(4):705~713

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  • 收稿日期:2018-08-30
  • 定稿日期:2018-12-05
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  • 在線發布日期: 2019-08-27
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