海南島西部山區人工催化暖底積云隨機化效果檢驗
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公益性行業(氣象)科研專項項目(GYHY201406033)、國家自然科學基金項目(41865009)資助


Randomized Effectiveness Evaluation of Artificially Catalyzing HeatingBottom Cumulus in Mountainous Western Hainan Island
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    摘要:

    2015—2016年在海南省昌江縣霸王嶺開展地面暖云煙爐隨機化人工催化效果檢驗,共取得催化和未催化試驗樣本34個。利用TITAN風暴追蹤系統結合自動雨量資料進行統計和物理效果分析。結果表明:催化樣本影響區平均增雨量為3.36 mm/2h,未催化樣本平均增雨量為2.97 mm/2h,催化比未催化樣本平均增加雨量0.39 mm,相對增加11.4%,顯著性分析差異顯著;對于增長階段的積雨云,催化樣本反射率增強、含水量增大、回波頂高升高;處于減弱階段的積云,多數催化樣本回波減弱趨勢趨緩。

    Abstract:

    The experiment of randomized effectiveness evaluation of weather modification was conducted in 2015 an 2016 through the warmcloud smog generators at Bawang Mountain of Hainan Province. The test samples were randomly distinguished into 2 groups (seeded and noseeded), with a total number of 34. The statistical and physical effectiveness of all the test samples is analyzed with the data from the local automatic rainfall stations, Doppler radar and TITAN system, and the results are as follows: The average absolute rainfall improvement of the unseeded test samples is 2.97 mm per 2 hours, and the average rainfall improvement of the seeded test samples is 3.364 mm per 2 hours. The significant analysis of test samples indicates that the target cloud rainfall data between seeded and noseeded test samples are totally different; the physical effectiveness is analyzed with the data of the Doppler radar and TITAN system, and the physical evidences of warmcloud weather modification are evaluated by analyzing the difference between maximum combined radar reflectivity after the seeding moment. The results show that the maximum combined reflectivity, liquid water content and maximum echo height of the seeded group tend to grow stronger than theses of the noseeded group in the developing stage of cumulonimbus clouds. In the weaken stage of cumulonimbus clouds, the weaken trend of echoes tends to be abated in most of the seeded test samples.

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黃彥彬,毛志遠,邢峰華,陳智超,邢增聞,李光偉,鄒晶萍.海南島西部山區人工催化暖底積云隨機化效果檢驗[J].氣象科技,2019,47(3):486~494

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  • 收稿日期:2018-01-18
  • 定稿日期:2019-01-16
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  • 在線發布日期: 2019-06-25
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