1961—2015年新疆天山日照時數時空變化特征及其影響因素分析
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國家自然科學基金(41261090,41161063)、自治區重點實驗室專項基金(2016D03001, 2014KL005)、中國氣象局中國遙感衛星輻射測量和定標重點開放實驗室開放課題“AOD修正FY3/MERSI植被指數應用研究”、新疆大學博士生科技創新項目(XJUBSCX2016015)、新疆氣象局科技研究課題“FY3/MERSI與EOS/MODIS棉花遙感反演差異性研究”共同資助


Temporal and Spatial Variation of Sunshine Duration and Related Driving Forces in Tianshan Mountain during 1961-2015
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    摘要:

    采用新疆天山地區55個氣象站1961—2015年逐月氣象數據,用MannKendall突變檢驗、基于ArcGIS的混合插值及偏相關分析對天山日照時數年、季節特征及影響因素進行分析。結果表明:①天山日照時數年及季節均呈減少趨勢,天山各區域變化差異顯著,山區及天山北坡變化趨勢明顯于南坡。②天山北坡、天山南坡及天山山區年日照時數突變時間為1985年、1980年和1988年,云量和降水是導致突變發生的主導因素。③新疆天山年日照時數由西向東逐漸增加,平原多、山區少,春季呈“東北部多、西南部少”,夏季為 “東北部多、西南部少”,平原盆地高于山區,秋季呈現“北少南多,東多西少”,冬季由南向北逐漸減少。④云量、降水是導致天山地區日照減少的主要因素,少云區日照時數較多,多云區日照時數較少,天山云量減幅或增幅區域,日照時數突變量變化明顯。

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    Sunshine duration is one of the elements that characterize the strength of solar radiation, and it is closely related to the utilization of light and heat energy in agriculture. The temporal and spatial variation of annual and seasonal sunshine duration in Tianshan Mountain and its causes are analyzed by using the method of anomaly variation trend, 5years moving averge, MK test and IDW residual error revision by ArcGIS, based on sunshine duration, precipitation, temperature, cloudiness, wind speed and relative humidity of 55 meteorological stations from 1961 to 2015. The conclusions show: (1) Annual and all seasonal, except in spring, variations showed a declined temporal trend. The differences in the Tianshan Mountain were significant, and the trends in the mountain area and the northern slope of the Tianshan Mountain were more obvious than that in the southern Tianshan. (2) The MannKendall mutation test shows that in recent 55 years, the mutation times of annual sunshine hours in the northern slopes of Tianshan Mountains, the sourthern slopes of Tianshan Mountains and the mountain areas were 1985, 1980 and 1988. In spring, only the mountainous area was mutated. And in winter, only the southern slopes of the Tianshan Moutains and the sunshine hours in the montains were mutated. The results show that the cloud cover and precipititation were the leading factors in the occurrence of muations. (3) There was obvious regional differences in the climatic distribution of seasonal and annual sunshine duration; generally, the sunshine duration of Tianshan Mountain showed a increasing trend from west to east and those of the plains were reater than ththose of mountain areas. In spring, the sunshine duration was higher in northeast than in southwest. In summer, the spatial distribution of sunshine duration was similar with spring, high in northeast and low in southwest. In autumn, the sunshine duration increased from south to north and higher in east than in west. The distribution of sunshine duration in winter reduced from south to north gradually. (4) The factors of precipitation, cloud amount, relative humidity showed a negative correlation with sunshine duration. There were positive seasonal correlation between sunshine duration and wind speed in the Tianshan area, except in spring. In recent 55 years, the amount of clouds and precipitation changed significantly, which were the main factors leading to the decrease of sunshine duration in the Tianshan area. The number of sunshine hours changed significantly in Tianshan Mountain.

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武鵬飛,張鈞泳,譚嬌.1961—2015年新疆天山日照時數時空變化特征及其影響因素分析[J].氣象科技,2019,47(3):450~459

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  • 收稿日期:2018-05-08
  • 定稿日期:2018-12-07
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  • 在線發布日期: 2019-06-25
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