2017年春夏呼倫貝爾草原干旱過程多種監測指數對比分析
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干旱氣象科學研究基金(IAM201706),內蒙古自治區氣象局青年基金項目(nmqnqx201704),中國氣象局氣候變化專項項目(CCSF201721),內蒙古自治區遙感創新團隊資助


Comparative Analysis of Monitoring Effect of Various Meteorological Drought Indexes and Vegetation Status Index during a Prairie Drought
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    摘要:

    以2017年春夏季呼倫貝爾草原干旱過程為研究對象,利用呼倫貝爾草原范圍內6個氣象站的氣溫、降水數據和MODIS NDVI數據,分析對比2017年4—9月多種氣象干旱指數(Pa30、SPI30、SPEI30、CI、MCI)與植被狀態指數(VCI)的監測情況。結果表明:只考慮單一降水的氣象干旱指數(Pa30、SPI30)在4月波動較大,且此類指數無法反映出高溫等其他氣象條件對干旱發展的影響。綜合氣象干旱指數(CI、MCI)由于引入多時間尺度干旱進行計算,旱情緩解時輕旱等級持續的時間過長,且草原植被在降水增加后的恢復速度較快,造成干旱緩解期間植被與監測結果差異較大。MCI與同期和前1期VCI的相關性最好,CI和SPEI30與前1期和前2期VCI的相關性較好,而只考慮單一降水的氣象干旱指數與VCI的相關性普遍偏差。植被對SPEI30的響應時間更長,更適宜草原生態干旱的早期預警使用。

    Abstract:

    Based on a drought process in the Hulunbuir prairie from spring to summer in 2017, the monitoring results of various meteorological drought indexes (Pa30, SPI30, SPEI30, CI, MCI) and the Vegetation Status Index from April to September in 2017 are analyzed and compared by using the data of air temperature, precipitation and MODIS NDV of 6 meteorological stations. The results show that meteorological drought indexes (Pa30 and SPI30), which consider only precipitation, fluctuated greatly in April, which cannot reflect the impact of high temperature and other meteorological conditions on drought development. Due to the introduction of meteorological elements in CI and MCI calculation for multiperiods of time and the prolonged light drought while droughts alleviating, and the relatively rapid recovery of vegetation after the increase of precipitation, a large difference between vegetation and monitoring during drought remission are resulted in. The correlation between MCI and VCI in the same and previous periods is the best, and that between SPEI30 and VCI in the first two periods is good, and the correlation between Meteorological Drought Index and VCI, which considers only precipitation, is generally worse. With a longer response time for vegetation, SPEI30 is more suitable for the early warning of prairie ecological droughts.

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曲學斌,金林雪,王穎,姜鳳友.2017年春夏呼倫貝爾草原干旱過程多種監測指數對比分析[J].氣象科技,2019,47(1):163~170

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  • 收稿日期:2017-11-29
  • 定稿日期:2018-10-30
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  • 在線發布日期: 2019-02-27
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