基于多元資料的成都市2049遠景發展戰略規劃氣候可行性論證
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北京未來城市設計高精尖創新中心2017年開放課題(UDC2017031112)、中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF201728,CCSF201733)、中國城市規劃設計研究院西部分院項目“成都2049遠景戰略規劃之局地氣象與大氣質量專題”、北京市氣象局城市氣候評估創新團隊建設計劃資助


Climatic Feasibility Demonstration of 2049 Urban Strategic Planning in Chengdu Based on Multivariate Data
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    摘要:

    配合2015年成都市2049遠景發展戰略規劃編制,利用成都市氣象和空氣質量觀測數據、衛星遙感、地理信息及城市規劃土地利用資料,對該市風、熱/冷環境和大氣環境進行計算分析,結果表明:①成都市主導風向為NE,年平均風速為1.2 m/s,靜風頻率高達34%,冬季風速最小。市域內風速總體呈東北向西南遞減趨勢,西部沿龍門山岷江口和湔江口為市域2處主要通風口。21世〖JP2〗紀00年代城市集中區風速較20世紀80、90年代顯著減少,NE和NW風向上減少可達0.5 m/s。②該市較強等級以上熱島面積由1992年的53.6 km2發展至2014年的798 km2,〖JP〗且熱島中心呈現多極化。高級別生態冷源集中于龍門山和龍泉山,大規模城市擴張與沿山坡耕地是熱/冷環境惡化的重要原因。③成都大氣環境狀況不佳,空氣污染程度呈現城區—近郊—遠郊遞減特征。2007—2014年城區PM10和NO2平均濃度分別為0.116 mg/m3和0.054 mg/m3,均未達國家環境空氣質量二級標準。④繪制了成都市城市氣候分析圖,并結合實地調查、土地利用現狀以及發展訴求,形成了城市規劃氣候建議圖,將全市劃分為6類規劃分區,明確了對氣候影響程度不同的各類空間,進而為成都市2049遠景發展戰略規劃提出了氣候可行性建議。

    Abstract:

    Based on the observation data of climate and air quality, satellite remote sensing and geographic information data, and relevant urban planning data, the wind environment, the thermal/cold environment and atmospheric environment in Chengdu are comprehensively analyzed. The results of study have been applied to the Chengdu 2049 Urban Strategic Planning. The results show that: (1) The dominant wind direction in Chengdu is northeast, and the wind speed in winter is the smallest. In the urban area, the wind speed is decreasing from northeastern to southwest. The estuaries of the Minjiang River and Jianjiang River in the western Longmen pediment region are two main vents in Chengdu. The wind speed of the centralized urban construction area decreased in the 2000s significantly relative to the speed in the 1980s and 1990s, decreased by 0.5 m/s in the northeast and northwest. (2) The strong heat island and the relative strong heat island area increased from 53.6 km2 in 1992 to 798 km2 in 2014, and the center of heat island presented multipolarization. The highgrade ecocold sources were concentrated in the Longmen Mountain and Longquan Mountain. Highintensity urban construction and slope farmland development are the main reasons for the deterioration of the thermal environment. (3) The atmospheric environment in Chengdu is not good and the spatial distribution of air pollution shows a decreasing trend from the central urban area, the inner suburbs, to the outer suburbs. During the period of 2007 to 2014, the annual mean concentrations of PM10 and NO2 in the urban areas exceeded the Grade II national standards for air quality. (4) The urban climatic analysis map of Chengdu is drawn up, and the urban climatic recommendation map is presented by combining with field investigation, land use status quo and development demands. Finally, the proposals for the 2049 Urban Strategic Planning in Chengdu are put forward.

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程宸,房小怡,王信,楊袁慧,張碩,覃光旭,杜吳鵬.基于多元資料的成都市2049遠景發展戰略規劃氣候可行性論證[J].氣象科技,2019,47(1):116~122

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  • 收稿日期:2018-03-15
  • 定稿日期:2018-09-11
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  • 在線發布日期: 2019-02-27
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