基于歷史觀測數據的飛行航路點溫度估算方法
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國家自然科學基金(U1533116,U1633125),民航安全能力〖JP2〗建設基金(TMSA1617),中央高?;究蒲袠I務費資助項目(3122017067, Y1718, 〖JP〗3122014B005),中國民航大學科研啟動基金(2014QD16X)資助


Flight Waypoint Temperature Estimation Based on Historical Observation Data
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    摘要:

    航線飛行溫度數據是航線適應性分析、開航分析和飛機選型等研究工作的基礎。本文基于NOAA歷史氣象數據,通過對原始溫度數據的統計、分析、擬合,建立與原始溫度數據擬合度最高的函數模型,構建基于溫度頻率密度曲線特征的航路點溫度快速估算方法;然后以典型的經緯度網格點為例,將直接統計計算和快速估算方法的計算結果與波音公司WINDTEMP.EXE軟件計算結果進行對比,表明基于統計計算的航路點溫度估算方法具有準確可靠的優點,但計算速度較慢,難以滿足民航運行要求;該論文所研究的基于溫度頻率密度曲線特征的航路點溫度快速估算方法則具有精度高、運算速度快的優點,可以滿足民航運行的真實需要。

    Abstract:

    The route flight temperature data are the basis of researches on route adaptability analysis, sailing analysis, and aircraft selection. Based on the NOAA historical meteorological data, this paper establishes a function model with the highest fitting degree to the original temperature data through statistics, analysis and fitting of the original temperature data, and constructs a rapid temperature estimation method for the waypoint based on the characteristics of temperature and frequency density curves. The typical latitude and longitude grid points are taken as examples. The calculation results of the direct statistical calculation and rapid estimation methods are compared with the calculation results of the Boeing WINDTEMP.EXE software. It is shown that the method for calculating the temperature of the waypoints based on statistical calculation has the advantages of accurate and reliable calculation, but the speed is slow and it is difficult to meet the operational requirements of civil aviation, but the method for rapid temperature estimation of the waypoints based on the characteristics of temperature and frequency density curves studied in this paper has the advantages of high accuracy and fast operation speed, and can meet the real needs of civil aviation operations.

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魏志強,王璐.基于歷史觀測數據的飛行航路點溫度估算方法[J].氣象科技,2018,46(6):1116~1123

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2018-01-31
  • 定稿日期:2018-04-03
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-12-27
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