滇西北高原一次突發性特大暴雨過程水汽輸送特征分析
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中國氣象局預報員專項“云南局地暴雨中的水汽輸送特征研究”(CMAYBY2016068)、2017建設面向南亞東南亞氣象中心科技創新專項“智能網格預報產品的客觀訂正技術研究與應用”資助


Characteristics of Water Vapor Transport During a Sudden Local Heavy Rainstorm in Northwestern Yunnan Plateau
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    摘要:

    針對滇西北高原華坪縣一次突發性特大暴雨天氣過程,采用常規計算及數值模擬方法,分析其水汽輸送特征。結果表明:中南半島熱帶低壓及孟加拉灣低壓穩定維持為暴雨區水汽輸送通道建立提供較好的大尺度環境場;暴雨區存在兩條水汽輸送通道,孟加拉灣低壓東側偏南氣流轉向后形成的西南水汽輸送與副熱帶高壓南側偏東氣流轉向后形成的西南水汽輸送,其源地可追溯至南海、西太平洋、孟加拉灣、阿拉伯海等地;水汽輸送及水汽輻合主要來自700 hPa以下層,其中700 hPa與850 hPa水汽輸送特征與整層水汽輸送特征表現一致; 數值模擬結果可較好再現暴雨區水汽輸送特征,同時發現后向追蹤時段內,暴雨區中低層水汽輸送起始于該高度層之上,隨暴雨發生時間臨近水汽輸送高度逐漸降低。

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    An analysis is made of the water vapor transport characteristics of a sudden heavy rainstorm occurred in Huaping, the northwestern Yunnan Plateau, using the conventional calculation and numerical simulation method. The results show: The stable maintenance of the tropical depression in the IndoChina Peninsula and the depression in the Bay of Bengal provided a largescale environmental field for the establishment of the water vapor transport channel in the rainstorm area. There were two water vapor transport channels in the rainstorm area: the water vapor transport on the east side of the depression in the Bay of Bengal and that on the south side of subtropical high, of which the source area can be traced back to the South China Sea, the Western Pacific, the Bay of Bengal, the Arabian Sea, etc. The water vapor transport and water vapor convergence mainly came from the lower levels below 700 hPa, and the water vapor transport characteristics of 700 hPa and 850 hPa were consistent with that of the whole layer. The numerical simulation results can better reproduce the characteristics of water vapor transport in the rainstorm area, and at the same time, during the back tracking period, the middle and low water vapor transport in the storm area started above this height, and along with the occurrence of heavy rain, the water vapor transport height gradually reduced.

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馬志敏,閔穎,朱莉.滇西北高原一次突發性特大暴雨過程水汽輸送特征分析[J].氣象科技,2018,46(5):951~957

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  • 收稿日期:2017-05-13
  • 定稿日期:2018-07-10
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-10-31
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