不同輻射參數化方案對南京地區大霧過程數值模擬的影響
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國家公益性行業(氣象)科研專項(GYHY201406029,GYHY201306043),江蘇省科技支撐計劃(BE2015732),江蘇省氣象局北極閣基金(BJG201404)資助


Influence of Different Radiation Parameterization Schemes on Numerical Simulations of Heavy Fog Events on Expressways in Jiangsu Province
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    摘要:

    為了比較不同長、短波輻射參數化方案對江蘇省大霧過程的模擬效果,本文利用WRF模式,通過設計不同長、短波輻射參數化方案,對江蘇省2015年5月18—21日和12月20—21日2次典型大霧過程進行了數值模擬,討論了模式中不同長、短波輻射參數化方案對江蘇省大霧過程的模擬影響。采用平均絕對誤差(MAR)、均方根誤差(RMSE)、皮爾遜相關系數(r)及中國氣象局頒布的霧區預報規定,評價得到不同條件的最優模擬方案。結果表明:①熱力條件與水汽條件,模擬最優方案為長波GFDL方案與短波RRTMG方案組合。②動力條件,最優輻射參數化方案組合為CAM方案與FLG方案組合。③霧區的模擬,效果最好的方案為長波GFDL方案與短波RRTMG方案的組合。

    Abstract:

    In order to compare the effects of different longwave radiation and shortwave radiation parameterization schemes on the numerical simulations of radiation fog processes, in this paper, the two typical heavy radiation fog events occurred in Jiangsu Province in spring and autumn 2015 are screened respectively and the Weather Research and Forecast Model (WRF) is used in the numerical simulations of these two radiation fog processes through the design of different longwave and shortwave radiation parameterization schemes. The influences of these longwave and shortwave radiation parameterization schemes on the numerical simulation of the fog processes are discussed. The mean absolute error (MAR), the root mean square error (RMSE), the Pearson correlation coefficient and Fog Grade and the Fog Area Forecast Regulations promulgated by the China Meteorological Administration are used to evaluate these simulation schemes, and the optimal simulation schemes under the different conditions are obtained. The results show: (1) In the simulations of the relative humidity and the dew point temperature as the vapor conditions of fog occurrence or in the simulations of the air temperature and surface temperature as the thermodynamic conditions, the optimal scheme is the combination of GFDL scheme in the long wave radiation with the RRTMG scheme in the short wave radiation. (2) In the simulations of the wind speed at the 10 m level, for the dynamic condition of fog engendering, the optimal scheme is the combination of CAM scheme in the long wave radiation with the FLG scheme in short wave radiation. (3) For the simulation of the fog area, the scheme combined with the best simulation effectiveness is the combination of the GFDL scheme in the long wave radiation with the RRTMG scheme in short wave radiation.

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賈思雨,包云軒,袁成松,周林義,焦圣明.不同輻射參數化方案對南京地區大霧過程數值模擬的影響[J].氣象科技,2018,46(5):932~942

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  • 收稿日期:2017-10-24
  • 定稿日期:2018-03-15
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-10-31
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