西寧地區冰雹VIL變化特征
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青海省西寧市氣象局重點項目(2016)資助


Characteristics and Application of VIL Variation in Hailstorm Warning in Xining
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    摘要:

    通過對2013—2016年西寧地區冰雹過程中VIL(Vertical Integrated Liquid Water Content)特征分析,得出了VIL對冰雹預警的判別指標和對冰雹路徑指示:西寧地區降雹時間多出現在VIL最大值出現后的2~4個體掃,且在VIL值躍增后4~5個體掃時間內;864%的降雹區在VIL達到最大值的周圍區域45~210 km范圍內;冰雹出現時VIL閾值6、7、9月均為23 kg〖DK〗·m-2,8月為28 kg〖DK〗·m-2,躍增值6、9月為5 kg〖DK〗·m-2, 7、8月為10 kg〖DK〗·m-2;經時效檢驗,VIL指標具有較好的預警提前性;VIL對冰雹路徑有很好的指示意義,可以通過VIL的移動速度和方向外推做出降雹時間及落區預警。

    Abstract:

    By analyzing the Vertically Integrated Liquid water content (VIL) characteristics for hailstorms in Xining from 2013 to 2016, the identification indexs of VIL in hailstorm warning and hailstorm path instruction are obtained. The results show that the hails in Xining mostly happened after 2 to 4 radar volume scans after maximum VIL, and within 4 to 5 volume scans after VIL increasing abruptly, and 864% of the hailing areas are within 45 to 210 km around the maximum VIL. The thresholds of VIL when hailing are 23 kg〖DK〗·m-2 in June, July and September, 28 kg〖DK〗·m-2 in August, while the abruptincrease values of VIL are 5 kg〖DK〗·m-2 in June and September and 10 kg〖DK〗·m-2 in July and August. The effectiveness test indicates that identification indexs of VIL have good indicativeness for hailstorm warning. The earlywarning of occurring time and hailing area can be conducted by the moving speed and direction extrapolation of VIL.

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謝啟玉,魏國財.西寧地區冰雹VIL變化特征[J].氣象科技,2018,46(3):539~544

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  • 收稿日期:2017-06-29
  • 定稿日期:2017-10-23
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-06-28
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