基于精細資料的寧夏春季干旱特征分析
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公益性行業(氣象)科研專項(GYHY201506001)、中國氣象局氣候變化專項(CCSF201724)和寧夏回族自治區重點研發項目(2016KJHM129)資助


Distribution Characteristics of Spring Droughts Based on HighResolution Data in Ningxia
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    摘要:

    本文利用多種地面精細觀測資料,統計分析得到近55 a寧夏春季干旱的精細化空間分布和多時間尺度變化特征。結果表明:在采用了更為精細的觀測資料后,寧夏春季干旱的分布顯得更為不均,呈中部多發南北少發的分布特征而干旱平均強度卻呈中部弱南北強的分布特征;最大春季干旱強度分布呈明顯的多極性分布。在寧夏5地市中,吳忠市、銀川市、中衛市3市較易發生干旱。寧夏春季干旱發生次數基本呈逐年增加的趨勢,但平均強度呈逐年減弱的趨勢;年代際發生次數的增加趨勢更加明顯;在20世紀80年代前后存在1次突變。春季干旱強度具有較為穩定的氣候態,3、5月易出現大范圍輕旱以上的干旱過程;3月上旬、5月上旬、5月下旬較易出現重旱級別的干旱過程。500 hPa大陸高壓脊與大氣環流的變化是造成西北地區春季干旱強弱分布的主要原因之一。

    Abstract:

    Based on highresolution spatial and temporal data over Ningxia from 1961 to 2015, we analyzed the distribution characteristics of spring droughts by statistical methods. The results reveal that there were more droughts in spring happened in the central Ningxia than in the northern or southern parts, but the average intensity of droughts had contrary characteristics. The maximum spring drought intensity demonstrated obviously multipolar distribution characteristics. There occurred more frequently serious droughts in Wuzhong, Yinchua, and Zhongwei. The frequency of spring droughts in Ningxia increased basically year by year, but the average intensity decreased gradually, while interdecadal characteristics were more obvious. The spring drought intensity was relatively stable, and large scale droughts occurred more frequently in March and May. During early March, early May and late May, serious drought processes occurred more easily. The main reasons for spring droughts in Northwest China include the variation of the ridge of the continental high and 500 hPa atmospheric circulation.

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裴曉蓉,王文,楊建玲,邵建,王素艷,張智.基于精細資料的寧夏春季干旱特征分析[J].氣象科技,2018,46(3):524~531

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歷史
  • 收稿日期:2017-05-05
  • 定稿日期:2017-10-19
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  • 在線發布日期: 2018-06-28
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